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The Beverage Industry: Adapting to Inflation and Changing Consumer Behavior

July 23, 2024

Note: We reveal investment insights through the quotes of top business leaders.

Key Takeaways

  • Beverage companies are focusing on controllable factors and strategic pricing to navigate inflation, with Coca-Cola and Monster Beverage highlighting effective strategies.
  • Adapting to changing consumer preferences, companies are investing in research, technology, and natural ingredients to stay relevant and meet consumer demands.
  • Operational efficiency and cost management are key, with Molson Coors making significant investments in brewery capabilities and diversifying its supplier base.
  • Innovative product offerings are a priority, with PepsiCo, Starbucks, Coca-Cola, Molson Coors, and Monster Beverage all launching new products to cater to evolving tastes.
  • Digital transformation and sustainability initiatives are critical, with Starbucks investing in AI and machine learning, and PepsiCo adapting to new regulatory requirements.

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Impact of Inflation on the Beverage Industry

Despite inflationary pressures, Coca-Cola achieved strong growth by focusing on controllable factors. In Argentina, inflation-driven price increases boosted energy drink sales by 265.9%. Molson Coors noted inflation's negative impact on UK market share and consumer income in Eastern Europe. PepsiCo expects moderate inflation trends, while Coca-Cola launched initiatives to provide value amid rising food prices.

"We begin 2024 coming off another solid year in which our company delivered strong growth amid many factors beyond our control from inflation to currency headwinds to geopolitical tensions. We achieved this by focusing on what's in our control and making steady progress on our journey as a total beverage company." --- (KO, event transcript, 2024/05/01)

"In Argentina, due in part to the impact of inflation related local currency price increases the energy drink category increased 265.9% for the month of March 2024." --- (MNST, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"And so that's impacting our share in the off-premise in the UK negatively. On the flip side in Central Eastern Europe, we were pretty cautious about that market last year given the impacts of inflation and the overall economy energy prices and so on, on consumers' disposable income." --- (TAP, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"And yes, it comment earlier on our inflationary trends would expect them to be fairly moderate for the balance of the year, fairly smooth through the balance of the year." --- (PEP, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"This initiative is our way of showing appreciation to our loyal customers as we aim to provide tremendous value during a period when inflation continues to affect food prices," said Kevin Miller, Chief Marketing Officer of The Fresh Market." --- (KO, press release, 2024/06/20)

Adapting to Changing Consumer Preferences

Beverage companies are adapting to changing consumer preferences by investing in research to develop new products, leveraging technology for targeted marketing, and focusing on natural and organic ingredients. They are also engaging directly with consumers and shifting their spending to align with consumer interests, ensuring their brands remain top of mind.

"We believe our portfolio allows consumers to make informed choices to meet their dietary and lifestyle needs, and we will continue to follow consumer tastes, investing in research, develop new beverage choices and brands, which can also create value for shareowners. Jennifer?" --- (KO, event transcript, 2024/05/01)

"But I would say the consumer is very resilient everywhere else. And our teams, I think, are pivoting to maintain our brands top of mind in their baskets at the frequency that we want and continue to gain market share. So, this" --- (PEP, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"We're able to leverage technology to be able to be more targeted and knowing more specifically who you are as a customer, what your taste and preferences are, how do we attract through location offers through day part offers through offers in inventory and done so in a way that we manage our overall margin so that we're creating offers with maybe food and beverage, but in a way that's accretive to the business." --- (SBUX, conference, 2024/06/05)

"The market is witnessing a shift toward natural and organic ingredients, with companies striving to provide clean-label products that align with the preferences of a discerning consumer base." --- (MNST, press release, 2024/05/21)

"This transformation is already paying off. We're rapidly and more effectively engaging directly with consumers through experiences focused on passion points.In terms of spend, we continue to shift our mix with the consumer in mind." --- (KO, event transcript, 2024/05/01)

Cost Management and Operational Efficiency

Molson Coors is enhancing operational efficiency through significant investments in brewery capabilities and diversifying its supplier base, which drives cost savings and leverages scale.

"And finally, we are delivering on our commitment to enhance our capabilities with a large investment in our Golden Brewery nearing completion and a $100 million investment plan for our U.K. operations over the next five years, which we believe will ensure world-class production of our brands today and in the future." --- (TAP, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"And that's going to drive a lot of cost savings and efficiencies as well. And then from a supplier base, we've really diversified our supplier base, leveraging our scale over a number of suppliers." --- (TAP, conference, 2024/06/05)

Innovative Product Offerings

PepsiCo, Starbucks, Coca-Cola, Molson Coors, and Monster Beverage are all focusing on innovative product offerings to meet evolving consumer tastes. PepsiCo's Greenhouse Accelerator Program supports new ventures, Starbucks emphasizes locally relevant innovations in China, Coca-Cola continues to launch new products, Molson Coors is confident in its premium portfolio, and Monster Beverage has a robust innovation pipeline for 2025.

""With access to quality mentorship, resources and a platform designed for growth, this program not only supports the expansion of these innovative ventures but also brings forth products that meet consumers' evolving tastes for unique and dynamic offerings, driving forward both their success and industry innovation as a whole."" --- (PEP, press release, 2024/07/09)

"We continue to execute on the three key elements of our China strategy, offering more coffee forward, locally relevant product innovations, making significant investments in technology to increase omnichannel capability and digitize our stores and increase the percentage of new store openings in lower-tier markets and new county cities where we see stronger new store economics." --- (SBUX, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"Certainly it's been an innovative company over the past four or five years and more new products out there, but it's tough to kind of track some of these products that have been launched, that are still on the shelf a year or two years later." --- (KO, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"One is we are very confident in our plans that we have behind not only our big core brands, but also our new innovations and our Above Premium portfolio, not only in the US, but also in Canada and also across the pond." --- (TAP, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"Looking ahead, we have a robust innovation pipeline planned for 2025 in North America as well as internationally." --- (MNST, event transcript, 2024/06/13)

Supply Chain Adjustments

Beverage companies are focusing on cost-saving measures, consistent supply chains, and continuous productivity programs to adapt to inflation and changing consumer behavior. These adjustments help manage higher operating costs and ensure reliable supply to retailers and distributors.

"And cost saving supply chain is very easy to measure because you can see the returns almost immediately." --- (TAP, conference, 2024/06/05)

"As it relates to categories like Fairlife, there the supply chain is a factor." --- (KO, conference, 2024/06/20)

"Risks Associated with Commodities and Our Supply Chain During the 12 and 24 weeks ended June 15, 2024 , we continued to experience higher operating costs, including on transportation and labor costs, which may continue for the remainder of 2024." --- (PEP, sec filing, 2024/Q2)

"And having a consistent supply chain now where we can guarantee supply to our retailers and distributors who've really wanted to support the brand, but have been concerned about the lack of consistency sometimes in supply chain." --- (TAP, conference, 2024/06/05)

"And then we've got a supply chain like other companies have. And within our supply chain, Nancy Kwan and her team, who's our Head of Technical, have a continuous productivity program." --- (KO, conference, 2024/06/06)

Effective Pricing Strategies

Monster Beverage has identified and is capitalizing on pricing opportunities, while Coca-Cola acknowledges the effectiveness of certain strategies and the importance of pricing considerations.

"And in principle, we have really worked hard at really coming to decision that a pricing opportunity is out there." --- (MNST, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"Some are much more effective for certain things, check, but the price is also there." --- (KO, conference, 2024/06/20)

Marketing in a Dynamic Market

Companies in the beverage industry are dynamically adapting their marketing strategies to capture market opportunities, invest in brand building, and leverage digital and convenience capabilities. They recognize the need to tailor approaches to the unique dynamics of both developed and developing markets.

"And we are continuing to, I think, be very dynamic in making sure that the business gets what it needs to capture the opportunities out there." --- (KO, conference, 2024/06/06)

"The opportunity is massive. If you think, it will take a decade perspective, and we're putting infrastructure on the ground and we're putting a lot of -- we are investing in the brands, make sure that we build the scale to capture what is going to be, I think a high demand market for many, many years." --- (PEP, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"The company continues to have market share leadership in the energy drink category for all outlets combined in the United States in the 13 week period ended June 1, 2024." --- (MNST, event transcript, 2024/06/13)

"We have a strong brand. We have a portfolio of highly profitable stores. We have an increasing capability around digital as well as around convenience." --- (SBUX, conference, 2024/06/05)

"And the developing world and the developed world, maybe one construct to look at, but each market has got their own dynamics." --- (KO, conference, 2024/06/06)

Digital Transformation and E-commerce

Starbucks is focusing on strengthening its digital leadership and investing in AI and machine learning to enhance store operations and deliver a personalized digital customer experience.

"Moving on. Our second strategic pillar is further strengthening and differentiating our leadership position in digital." --- (SBUX, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"And we're making additional investments in our Deep Brew AI and machine learning platforms to further digitize and fine-tune how we operate our stores while delivering an improved digital customer experience and more personalized customer offers." --- (SBUX, earning call, 2024/Q2)

Sustainability Initiatives

Sustainability initiatives in the beverage industry are driving significant costs and investments, as companies like PepsiCo adapt to new regulatory requirements and carbon pricing programs. Meanwhile, Starbucks emphasizes the importance of sustainable growth in creating value for all stakeholders.

"These new or increased legal or regulatory requirements, along with initiatives to meet our sustainability goals, could result in significant increased costs and additional investments in facilities and equipment." --- (PEP, sec filing, 2024/Q2)

"And we create value across all of our stakeholders as we grow sustainably. And that's incredibly important." --- (SBUX, conference, 2024/06/05)

"potential carbon pricing programs. These new or increased legal or regulatory requirements, along with initiatives to meet our sustainability goals, could result in significant increased costs and additional investments in facilities and equipment." --- (PEP, sec filing, 2024/Q1)

Competitive Landscape and Market Positioning

Starbucks demonstrates resilience and strong market positioning by opening new stores and maintaining high margins. Monster Beverage focuses on its lifestyle brand image and strategic investments. Coca-Cola leverages competitive purchasing power and enhances its digital and technology efforts to strengthen its market position.

"Despite the complex environment, the market opened 118 net new stores in the quarter, while sustaining double-digit store operating margin for both new stores and the total portfolio, demonstrating the health and resilience of our brand in the market positioning us well in the market long term." --- (SBUX, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"As I said earlier or said in previous calls, it’s positioned as a lifestyle brand and we believe that to we have to invest the market. We accept that, and to achieve the positioning that we're looking for." --- (MNST, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"So we maintain really competitive purchasing power. I think the area that we're now doing it more that we didn't do enough of is on digital and technology." --- (KO, conference, 2024/06/20)

"I think you mentioned, something about a shakeout. I was wondering, if you could double click on that for us, what you're maybe seeing that would make you think that, the environment there would be competitively, would be a transitory one and it would get better that way." --- (SBUX, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"Seriously I wanted to ask about international gross margins. I'm just curious how you think about the ability to potentially improve those in negotiating specifically better economics with the coast system as Monsters importance to the system and to their revenue and profitability increases." --- (MNST, earning call, 2024/Q1)

See also