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Gold Price Projections: Industry Leader Insights

July 19, 2024

Note: We reveal investment insights through the quotes of top business leaders.

Key Takeaways

  • Gold prices are projected to stay above $2,000 per ounce in 2024, supported by accommodative Federal Reserve policies and robust central bank purchases.
  • Macroeconomic uncertainties, including commodity prices, foreign exchange rates, and supply chain disruptions, are significant factors influencing gold prices.
  • Newmont is advancing technological innovations in gold mining, focusing on optimizing recoveries and developing zero-emissions mining systems.
  • Newmont's investment strategies emphasize disciplined pricing, leveraging synergies, and maintaining financial flexibility for future M&A and venture opportunities to maximize shareholder value.

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Macroeconomic Factors Influencing Gold Prices

Gold prices are expected to remain above $2,000 per ounce in 2024, driven by accommodative Federal Reserve policies, lower interest rates, and robust central bank purchases. Macroeconomic uncertainties, including commodity prices, foreign exchange rates, and supply chain disruptions, also play significant roles in influencing gold prices.

"Analysts expect gold prices to be supported above the $2,000-per-ounce level in 2024, driven by expectations of a more accommodative monetary policy from the Federal Reserve." --- (NEM, press release, 2024/06/05)

"of the impact of these events, or changes in commodity prices, the prices for gold and other metals, and foreign exchange rates, we could continue to experience volatility; transportation industry disruptions could continue, including limitations on shipping produced metals; our supply chain could continue to experience disruption; cost inflation rates could further increase; or we could incur credit related losses of certain financial assets, which could materially impact our results of operations, cash flows and financial condition." --- (NEM, sec filing, 2024/Q1)

"Lower interest rates could lead to a weaker U.S. dollar, making gold more attractive as an investment, The analysts also foresee substantial support for gold prices in the coming year from robust central bank purchases." --- (NEM, press release, 2024/06/05)

"Uncertainties include those relating to general macroeconomic uncertainty and changing market conditions, changing restrictions on the mining industry in the jurisdictions in which we operate, impacts to supply chain, including price, availability of goods, ability to receive supplies and fuel, and impacts of changes in interest rates." --- (NEM, press release, 2024/04/25)

Technological Advancements in Gold Mining

Newmont is focusing on optimizing copper and gold recoveries and improving process controls, alongside developing an all-electric autonomous mining system through a strategic alliance with CAT to achieve zero emissions mining.

"Then after you're stabilized, then optimizing copper and gold recoveries and improving process controls so that you have a builders performing very well for the remaining life of the open pit as you then bring on the ore from the block caving future years. Natascha anything you add?" --- (NEM, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"Additionally, as part of our ESG initiatives, in November 2021, Newmont announced a strategic alliance with CAT and pledged a preliminary investment of $100 with the aim to develop and implement a comprehensive all-electric autonomous mining system to achieve zero emissions mining." --- (NEM, sec filing, 2024/Q1)

Investment Strategies and Their Impact

Newmont Corporation's investment strategies, including disciplined pricing, leveraging synergies, and maintaining financial flexibility for future M&A and venture opportunities, aim to maximize shareholder value and operational efficiency. These strategies are poised to influence the company's performance and potentially impact gold price projections.

"The transaction will be financed by Nemechek own cash reserves as well as fully committed debt financing. Even though Kokanvas is by far the largest acquisition in Nemechek's history, our extremely solid balance sheet combined with a strong underlying earnings and cash flow generation will provide us with a high degree of safety going forward and continue to enable us to act flexibly should value generated M and A targets and venture investment opportunity emerge in the coming months and quarters." --- (NEM, event transcript, 2024/06/06)

"a high degree of safety going forward and continue to enable us to act flexibly should value generated M and A targets and venture investment opportunity emerge in the coming months and quarters." --- (NEM, event transcript, 2024/06/06)

"And if our target was not the perfect fit for us, we took to a pricing discipline in order to avoid potentially costly mistakes and to thus maximize the value generation for shareholders. At the same time," --- (NEM, M&A Announcement, 2024/06/06)

"What trends are impacting the mining industry? Hear about them from industry leaders, including our President and CEO, Tom Palmer, during the Precious #Metals Market: Global Trends and Prospects panel at @snmpeperu’s annual meeting on May 21. Read more: https://t.co/ZvRMPKIAw0 https://t.co/1GIhQAPGSC" --- (NEM, Twitter, 2024/05/15)

"We have operational leverage in the standalone business. As I said, it's a perfect point in time of acquiring the business, but also then in addition with our synergies." --- (NEM, M&A Announcement, 2024/06/06)

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