Streaming Wars: Impact on the Broader Media Landscape
August 2, 2024
Note: We reveal investment insights through the quotes of top business leaders.
Key Takeaways
- The streaming wars are reshaping the media landscape, with companies like Disney, Warner Bros. Discovery, and Netflix focusing on subscriber growth, content creation, and new revenue models.
- Traditional media companies are integrating streaming into their portfolios, adapting to competitive challenges, and managing declining traditional revenue streams.
- Technological advancements in streaming, such as improved video playback and AI-driven features, are enhancing user experience and profitability.
- Consumer behavior is shifting towards higher engagement with streaming services, with subscription bundles reducing churn and seasonal patterns influencing membership growth.
- Global expansion remains a key strategy, with major players aggressively entering international markets to drive future growth.
Market Share and Financial Performance
Disney's financial performance is influenced by competition and industry conditions, while Warner Bros. Discovery focuses on global subscriber growth to boost engagement. Netflix aims to expand its market share and ad revenue, and Paramount faces declining licensing revenues. Disney also notes that viewership and subscriber levels impact entertainment revenues.
"These factors include, among others, economic or industry conditions, competition and execution risks, including in connection with our business plans, potential strategic transactions and our content, cost savings, the market for advertising, our future financial performance and legal and regulatory developments." --- (DIS, earning call, 2024/Q2)
"Got it. So by having more subscribers, we saw in the U. S, but to your point, in the churn market, having more subscribers outside the U. S. Market will drive perhaps not more engagement on a per subscriber basis, but the total engagement across the globe will increase. Where does bundling come into that picture" --- (WBD, conference, 2024/05/30)
"We're small in revenue market-share. And we're going to grow in those areas across-the-board and ads going to be a bigger piece of that puzzle." --- (NFLX, earning call, 2024/Q2)
"Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Results of Operations and Financial Condition (Continued) (Tabular dollars in millions, except per share amounts) For the three months ended March 31, 2024, licensing and other revenues decreased 18%, primarily reflecting a lower volume of television licensing in the secondary market." --- (PARA, sec filing, 2024/Q1)
"Entertainment revenues are subject to seasonal advertising patterns, changes in viewership and subscriber levels, timing and performance of film releases in the theatrical and home entertainment markets, and the timing of and demand for film and television programs." --- (DIS, sec filing, 2024/Q2)
Content Creation and Acquisition Strategies
Major players like Warner Bros. Discovery, Paramount, Comcast, and Disney are heavily investing in content creation and acquisition. WBD focuses on new content and sports rights, Paramount aims to develop popular content, Comcast emphasizes acquisition-oriented content, and Disney integrates linear channels with streaming to reach broader audiences.
"• Content Acquisition We plan to continue to invest significantly in the creation and acquisition of new content, as well as certain sports rights." --- (WBD, sec filing, 2024/Q1)
"The Office of the CEO is working with the Board to develop a comprehensive, long-range plan to accelerate growth and develop popular content, materially streamline operations, strengthen the balance sheet, and continue to optimize the streaming strategy." --- (PARA, press release, 2024/04/29)
"Ted, and the second season of The Traders. Looking ahead, we’ll continue to be focused on retention, particularly in the second quarter as we look forward to the second half of the year, where we have a substantial amount of acquisition-oriented content lined up." --- (CMCSA, earning call, 2024/Q1)
"Our linear channels are deeply embedded in our direct-to-consumer strategy, as they continue to deliver high-quality content that reaches demographics not captured on streaming alone, allowing us to broaden our audiences and leverage our unmatched content engine across an expansive base." --- (DIS, earning call, 2024/Q2)
"Really, really to try from produce and create and distribute the best content." --- (WBD, conference, 2024/05/15)
Impact on Traditional Media Companies
Traditional media companies are adapting to the streaming era by integrating traditional media within broader portfolios (DIS), acknowledging competitive challenges (WBD), and recognizing the need to run declining businesses differently (PARA). The rise of streaming services impacts traditional revenue streams like advertising (FOX), but traditional media businesses remain viable within larger media companies (CMCSA).
"We're not saying by when, but that's what it should be. And you look at a turnaround at the movie studio, and I think we can talk about traditional media too and how we're using that if you'd like, but I think you'll see more of a portfolio of businesses serving our shareholders better." --- (DIS, conference, 2024/05/15)
"It was really challenging for the core media companies to compete. So given that, what is happening now, 2 part question here." --- (WBD, conference, 2024/05/30)
"We like these businesses, particularly CBS. We think it is a very, very, very strong business with more reach than any other business than most watched as George said network for decades now. However, I think a lot of us in the business know we got to run these businesses in a different way as they decline." --- (PARA, event transcript, 2024/07/08)
"So that's affecting the market overall. It certainly has an impact on the market for advertising for Tubi." --- (FOX, earning call, 2024/Q3)
"Well, let's start with is it a good business? I think, yes. And I think inside a media company like NBCUniversal, definitely, yes." --- (CMCSA, conference, 2024/05/14)
Technological Advancements in Streaming
Investments in technology are crucial for enhancing user experience and profitability in streaming. Innovations like speech emotion recognition, noise reduction, and advanced media engines for efficient high-resolution video playback are revolutionizing the industry, enabling new functionalities such as visual search and smoother streaming performance.
"Now what we really need to do is invest in technology to serve the user because it's very, very clear that in order for us to turn streaming into a profitable business, it has to have a user first mentality and we can get into it." --- (DIS, conference, 2024/05/15)
"His pioneering work, especially in speech emotion recognition, set new benchmarks for accuracy, underscoring its potential to revolutionize human-computer interaction.Transitioning from academia to the tech industry, Willy made substantial contributions to setting global standards in noise reduction for mobile devices at HTC and enhancing live streaming content monitoring regulations." --- (GOOG, press release, 2024/05/23)
"Compared to M2, M4 can deliver the same performance using just half the power, and compared to the latest PC chip in a thin and light laptop, M4 can deliver the same performance using just a quarter of the power.4 A new advanced Media Engine includes support for AV1 decode, providing more power-efficient playback of high-resolution video experiences from streaming services. Outrageously Powerful Device for AI" --- (AAPL, press release, 2024/05/07)
"Thanks to advancements in video understanding, we can take visual search to a whole new level with the ability to ask questions with video." --- (GOOG, AGM, 2024/06/07)
"Advanced Media Engine for Smooth, Efficient Streaming The Media Engine of M4 is the most advanced to come to iPad." --- (AAPL, press release, 2024/05/07)
Changes in Consumer Behavior
Consumers are increasingly engaging with streaming services, spending more time and showing higher engagement levels (GOOG). Subscription bundles are reducing the need for frequent service switching, offering more stable consumer behavior (WBD). Seasonal patterns in membership growth reflect variations in consumer viewing habits (NFLX).
"I guess I'm wondering, along with some of those changes in behavior, is there a way to quantify that overall engagement shift, whether that's an increase in time spent, increase in over the level of increase in queries for both sort of traditional search as well as more generative answers." --- (GOOG, earning call, 2024/Q1)
"They can do theirs. And synthetically, these bundles allow us to do that while still providing the consumer with a very attractive price for the combination of products, such that they feel like they don't need to anymore do all the switching in and out of services month-to-month, but rather pay and get an advantage of one price." --- (WBD, earning call, 2024/Q1)
"Our membership growth exhibits a seasonal pattern that reflects variations when consumers buy internet-connected screens and when they tend to increase their viewing." --- (NFLX, sec filing, 2024/Q2)
"And ultimately I think the business will look very different in two to three years and it'll be much better for consumers from our perspective. Kutgun Maral : Thank you both. Gunnar Wiedenfels: So the next question." --- (WBD, earning call, 2024/Q1)
Regulatory and Competitive Landscape
The media landscape is marked by intense competition, with companies like Comcast facing multiple fixed wireless and fiber competitors. Regulatory changes are expected to be slow, as noted by Amazon, while Warner Bros. Discovery remains confident in navigating different regulatory regimes. Companies are adapting strategies to stay competitive, focusing on customer experience and financial balance.
"Then as you shift towards the competition, the environment--let me back up, overall it’s a very intense, competitive environment that is very consistent the last several years, and so it’s picked up a bit, and when you have, again, three fixed wireless competitors coming in pretty much at the same time and you have the fiber level, about half of our footprint now has fiber competition of some form in it, it’s an intense competitive environment." --- (CMCSA, earning call, 2024/Q1)
"And we spent a lot of time making sure that as a team and as individual teams, the majority of our energy, the vast majority of our energy and attention goes towards trying to provide the best possible customer experience that we can deliver for customers. I think that the all the machinations around what will happen in the regulatory world will take a long time." --- (AMZN, event transcript, 2024/05/22)
"Same thing, different regulatory regimes, but we are very confident that it will be as seamless in these two waves in May June, what we have in Latin America." --- (WBD, conference, 2024/05/15)
"While it’s a competitive market, especially for the price-driven segment, we will continue to compete aggressively, yet in a financially balanced way, and expect to drive healthy broadband revenue growth through growth in ARPU, which we expect to remain well within our historical range of 3% to 4% growth even as we manage through the ACP transition." --- (CMCSA, earning call, 2024/Q1)
"It just hasn't been as competitive as we would have liked. So we've changed it up a bit under one brand, one simple architecture." --- (CMCSA, conference, 2024/05/21)
Global Expansion and International Markets
Streaming giants like WBD, Disney, Netflix, and Amazon are aggressively expanding into international markets. WBD and Disney emphasize future growth and strategic market-specific approaches, while Netflix leverages its global content delivery network. Amazon's international stores are also progressing towards profitability, indicating a robust global expansion strategy.
"than international networks, Streaming, currently because we are not in a lot of markets yet, still the smallest of the segment, but growing and for sure, probably the most important revenue and growth driver in the future." --- (WBD, conference, 2024/05/15)
"And ultimately, we'll get to building out the international business even more strongly. So, from the" --- (DIS, earning call, 2024/Q2)
"We have built our own global content delivery network (“Open Connect”) to help us efficiently stream a high volume of content to our members over the internet." --- (NFLX, sec filing, 2024/Q1)
"Our emerging international stores are growing and moving towards profitability." --- (AMZN, earning call, 2024/Q1)
"We have applied that model successfully across our entire global rollout. We're looking market by market at what makes sense, what the licensing opportunity is, what the upside longer term from an asset value perspective is from running an owned and operated platform and in some markets looking at partnerships." --- (WBD, conference, 2024/05/22)
Advertising Models and Revenue Streams
Streaming platforms are increasingly adopting dual revenue models, combining advertising and subscriptions. Netflix and Comcast have integrated advertising as a new revenue stream, while Disney allocates ad revenue across its services. YouTube's ad revenue surged 21%, highlighting the effectiveness of this model.
"So we have added new revenue streams like advertising, like extra member, which isn't directly tied to a paid net ad." --- (NFLX, conference, 2024/05/15)
"We had advertising and subscription. We do those things really well. Now we've seen a lot of the other marketplace begin to adopt that dual revenue model." --- (CMCSA, conference, 2024/05/14)
"Advertising revenue generated by content on one DTC streaming service that is accessed through another DTC streaming service by subscribers to both streaming services is allocated between both streaming services." --- (DIS, sec filing, 2024/Q2)
"YouTube ads revenues were up 21% year-on-year, driven by growth in both direct response and brand." --- (GOOG, earning call, 2024/Q1)
"It's additional revenue stream incorporated into my business, and most importantly, it allows me to connect with my community." --- (AMZN, event transcript, 2024/05/22)
Future Outlook and Long-Term Impact
Disney is optimistic about securing a long-term NBA deal, enhancing its streaming services. Amazon expresses strong enthusiasm for its future, despite facing reputational and operational risks. Alphabet's regulatory and litigation challenges could impact its long-term strategy. Overall, major players foresee a promising yet complex future in the streaming wars.
"We're confident or optimistic we're going to end up with an NBA deal that will be long term in our best interest and the best interest of our subscribers." --- (DIS, earning call, 2024/Q2)
"From my perspective, I have more enthusiasm and optimism for Amazon's future than ever. We continue to make meaningful progress in our customer experiences and financial results." --- (AMZN, event transcript, 2024/05/22)
"While the societal risks seem clear, the risks to investors are also profound. Alphabet has been subject to heightened regulatory and litigation risk in recent years." --- (GOOG, event transcript, 2024/06/07)
"The apparent misalignment between Amazon's commitment and its reported conduct represents reputational and operational risks that may negatively impact Amazon's long term performance." --- (AMZN, event transcript, 2024/05/22)
"So I'm very optimistic that we will be a leader here, and I think our future is bright." --- (AMZN, event transcript, 2024/05/22)