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MedTech's Future: Key Drivers and Q2 Earnings Challenges

August 9, 2024

Note: We reveal investment insights through the quotes of top business leaders.

Key Takeaways

  • Technological advancements and innovation are critical for MedTech companies to maintain market leadership and drive future growth.
  • Regulatory changes pose significant challenges, impacting product approval timelines and financial performance.
  • Market demand for MedTech products remains strong, though some segments, like COVID-19 related products, are seeing declines.
  • Customer feedback and adoption of new products have been overwhelmingly positive, driving growth and market penetration.
  • Q2 2024 saw robust earnings growth, but supply chain challenges and regulatory hurdles continue to impact the sector.

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Technological Advancements Shaping MedTech's Future

Technological advancements are pivotal for MedTech's future, with companies like Johnson & Johnson, Medtronic, GE HealthCare, Intuitive Surgical, and Boston Scientific emphasizing innovation. They focus on advancing new products, receiving recognition for breakthroughs, showcasing cutting-edge technology, and maintaining leadership in key markets.

"But we believe the combination of those three priorities, advancing our innovation, strengthening our financial performance and simplifying Johnson and Johnson MedTech, are going to be key to continuing on the trajectory that we're on." --- (JNJ, conference, 2024/05/15)

""This acknowledgement from MedTech Breakthrough inspires us to accelerate our vision to serve more patients in more places." The mission of the MedTech Breakthrough Awards is to honor excellence and recognize the innovation, hard work and success in a range of health and medical technology categories, including Telehealth, Clinical Administration, Patient Engagement, Electronic Health Records (EHR), Virtual Care, Medical Devices, Medical Data & Privacy, and many more." --- (MDT, press release, 2024/05/09)

"We landed in China earlier this month to attend the CMEF 2024 event. Alongside 150,000 other healthcare professionals, this was an exciting opportunity to discuss the latest technological advancements and solutions as well as showcase the latest @GEHealthCare tech. \ud83d\udc47 #CMEF #HealthcareInnovation #FutureOfHealthcare" --- (GEHC, twitter, 2024/04/17)

"And lastly, then our priorities for this year, innovation is key to our success. We have a number of new products that have been cleared that are in the launch phase and we want those launches to go well. We want customers to realize the benefits of the value that we're bringing to the market." --- (ISRG, event transcript, 2024/04/25)

"Two of the best markets in all of MEDTECH, obviously are our EP and WATCHMAN and we have strong leadership position in PFA and that market is only growing." --- (BSX, earning call, 2024/Q2)

Regulatory Environment and Its Impact on MedTech

Regulatory changes significantly impact MedTech companies, influencing product approval timelines, financial statements, and operational decisions. Medtronic and Boston Scientific highlight the importance of timely FDA approvals for market entry, while Edwards Lifesciences and Johnson & Johnson emphasize the financial and operational challenges posed by evolving regulations.

"• Our ability to meet growing demand for our existing products and to successfully develop, obtain regulatory approval of and commercialize the products within our pipeline, including our next-generation sensor Simplera, which has been submitted for approval to the U.S. FDA and received CE Mark in September 2023." --- (MDT, sec filing, 2024/Q4)

"The provisions effective in 2025 may have a material impact on our consolidated financial statements in 2025 and future years, depending on future legislation, regulatory guidance, and business events." --- (EW, sec filing, 2024/Q2)

"The Company has excluded only external third-party regulatory and consulting costs from its MedTech operating segments' measures of profit and loss used for making operating decisions and assessing performance which will be completed during 2024." --- (JNJ, press release, 2024/07/17)

"We also received FDA approval of our AGENT DCB in first quarter, and we expect to initiate a limited launch in second quarter as we ramp supply following the earlier-than-anticipated regulatory approval." --- (BSX, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"Just wanted to ask you in this sort of more challenging regulatory environment, what gives you confidence in a mid-twenty 20 foreclose for the deal?" --- (JNJ, event transcript, 2024/04/05)

Market Demand for MedTech Products and Services

Market demand for MedTech products and services remains robust, with strong procedural and capital product demand (SYK), growing demand for existing and new products (MDT), and specific product demand like Swan-Ganz catheters (EW). However, there is a noted decline in demand related to COVID-19 products (TMO).

"During the second quarter of 2024, revenues from pharma and biotech customers declined due to reduced demand for our products and services that support COVID-19 vaccines and therapies as well as a more muted macroeconomic environment, partially offset through strong commercial execution." --- (TMO, sec filing, 2024/Q2)

"We continue to expect strength in procedural demand as we move into the second half of the year. Demand for our capital products also remained healthy in the quarter with continued elevated backlog across our endoscopy and medical divisions." --- (SYK, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"• Our ability to meet growing demand for our existing products and to successfully develop, obtain regulatory approval of and commercialize the products within our pipeline, which include hemorrhagic stroke intravascular device and our next-generation spine enabling technologies. Medical Surgical" --- (MDT, sec filing, 2024/Q4)

"So that's terrific. And also we have underlying strong market demand for our products." --- (BSX, conference, 2024/05/29)

"Demand was also strong for Swan-Ganz catheters. The company's previously announced sale of Critical Care for $4.2 billion remains on track and is expected to close in late Q3 2024." --- (EW, press release, 2024/07/24)

Customer Adoption and Feedback

Customer feedback and adoption in the MedTech sector have been overwhelmingly positive, with companies like Intuitive Surgical, Thermo Fisher Scientific, Boston Scientific, Stryker, and Medtronic all reporting strong growth and enthusiastic responses to their new product launches.

""We are pleased by feedback from our measured da Vinci 5 launch as well as the continued adoption of SP and Ion, and we remain focused on delivering the goals we share with our customers, including improving patient outcomes." Additional supplemental financial and procedure information has been posted to the Investor Relations section of the Intuitive website at https://isrg.gcs-web.com/." --- (ISRG, press release, 2024/04/18)

"and really strong growth. And these businesses are top performers and great customer feedback and have a great future." --- (TMO, conference, 2024/05/14)

"Early feedback on FARAPULSE has been extremely positive, with rapid adoption from both RF and cryo users." --- (BSX, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"That's another reason for the raise, right? So you launch a new product, you see the customer feedback, you realize you have a winner and Pangea is a winner and LIFEPAK 35 is a winner." --- (SYK, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"The early users and their healthcare providers are giving us fantastic feedback." --- (MDT, earning call, 2024/Q4)

Q2 Financial Performance and Earnings Analysis

Q2 2024 saw strong earnings growth across the MedTech sector, with companies like Boston Scientific and Abbott Laboratories reporting improved margins and earnings. Stryker and Edwards Lifesciences highlighted robust sales and high-value technologies driving profitability, while Zimmer Biomet expressed optimism about their global performance.

"Q2 2024 adjusted earnings per share of $0.62, grew 15.4% versus 2023, exceeding the high end of our guidance range of $0.57 to $0.59, primarily driven by our strong sales performance. Adjusted gross margin for the second quarter was 70.4%, contracting 160 basis points versus the prior year period, driven by higher than expected inventory charges related to the POLARx cryoablation system, given the strong commercial adoption of FARAPULSE in the U.S., as well as increased levels of capital placements in the quarter." --- (BSX, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"Obviously we saw a turn here in Q2 versus what we saw in Q1, but maybe walk us through some of the drivers that get to that improved margin and earnings growth performance in the back half of the year." --- (ABT, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"And so my money's on our salesforce in terms of keeping this going. That's what I would say. I would tell you that if you just look at our performance year-to-date in Q1, 0.7%, 1.1% in Q2, in the back half of the year, we're going to see some anniversary of products and contracts." --- (SYK, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"We expect Edwards Q3 adjusted gross profit margin, including Critical Care to be in line with Q2, driven by high-value technologies that yield strong gross profit margins. Adjusted, selling general and administrative expenses in the quarter were $509 million or 31.2% of sales compared to $469 million in the prior year." --- (EW, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"Starting with our Q2 results, we continue to be very encouraged by our global performance." --- (ZBH, earning call, 2024/Q2)

Supply Chain Challenges in the MedTech Industry

MedTech companies like Stryker and Medtronic have reported improvements in their supply chains, positioning them well for future quarters. However, Johnson & Johnson highlighted ongoing challenges, with reduced distributor inventory impacting Q2. Boston Scientific focuses on integrating acquisitions to enhance supply chain efficiency and profitability.

"So we've had tremendous growth, tremendous demand and our supply chain has really kicked in, in a strong way, and that puts us in a good position not only to deliver in the first quarter but also to deliver in the quarters ahead." --- (SYK, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"And you'll recall in the first quarter, we mentioned that on the back of some historical supply chain challenges, the distributor inventory was reduced here in the U.S., and we've now seen that bleed into the second quarter as mentioned earlier." --- (JNJ, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"And we also aim to improve the margin profile of the business by integrating the company as appropriately within our operations supply chain team like we've done for many other acquisitions in the past. So it's an accretive asset that we think will be stronger and more profitable in the hands of Boston and make us more important for the vascular surgeon, which is an area that as the needs improvement for us, I would say, within that business unit." --- (BSX, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"Our supply chain has improved. The impact of VBP in China is largely behind us." --- (MDT, earning call, 2024/Q4)

"The key components of the change were: Operating Income Percent Net Sales MedSurg and Neurotechnology Orthopaedics and Spine Six Months 2023 25.4 % 28.5 % Sales pricing 130 bps (20) bps Volume 300 bps 410 bps Manufacturing and supply chain costs 40 bps (150) bps Research, development and engineering expenses (90) bps (70) bps Selling, general and administrative expenses (200) bps (200) bps Six Months 2024 27.2 % 28.2 % The increase in MedSurg and Neurotechnology operating income as a percentage of net sales for the six months was primarily" --- (SYK, sec filing, 2024/Q2)

Competitive Landscape and Strategic Positioning

MedTech companies like Abbott, Johnson & Johnson, Zimmer Biomet, Edwards Lifesciences, and Medtronic emphasize strategic flexibility, internal capabilities, and targeted investments to maintain competitive positioning. Their focus on financial strength, innovation, and addressing patient needs underscores their strategic approaches in a dynamic market.

"And so we like that there's always opportunities to add, and we've shown that if there are areas that we feel that we can bring value in a combination then as you mentioned we've got a strong balance sheet and strategic flexibility to do that." --- (ABT, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"We consistently evaluate new business opportunities through a strategic and scientific lens to deliver value for patients and for Our preference is to be in areas in which we have internal capabilities and know how and also to pursue products that represent progress in improving the current standard of care." --- (JNJ, event transcript, 2024/04/25)

"And this fact, in addition to the confidence around future free cash flow generation, give us the optionality and the far power to execute on the right deals at the right time, that most importantly, meet our internal hurdles from both a financial and a strategic perspective." --- (ZBH, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"Edwards is well-positioned to extend our leadership and deliver sustainable growth, driven by the strategic investments we have made across our transcatheter platforms to address the large and growing needs of patients impacted by aortic, mitral and tricuspid disease." --- (EW, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"And we've purposely driven investments in our strategic growth drivers as we work to commercialize many of the exciting innovations that we've got heading into '25." --- (MDT, earning call, 2024/Q4)

MedTech companies are increasing investments in R&D and maintaining strong balance sheets to support internal and external investments. They are also focusing on balanced capital deployment, with high ROIC as a key metric. Financing activities include stock issuances and managing debt through commercial paper.

"• One-time COVID-19 Vaccine related exit costs of $0.4 billion in 2023 • Favorable patient mix in Cost of products sold partially offset by • An increase in brand marketing investment • Higher administrative costs • Higher investments in research and development MedTech segment The MedTech segment income before tax as a percent of sales in the fiscal first quarter of 2024 was 19.4% versus 18.8% for the same period a year ago." --- (JNJ, sec filing, 2024/Q1)

"In addition, we plan to maintain a strong balance sheet to support continued internal and external investments as well as opportunistic share repurchase. Most importantly, we are confident in the moves we have made to reshape our portfolio of technologies to focus specifically on structural heart." --- (EW, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"I know you guys cover a lot of companies that have different approaches. Our approach is balanced, and we believe that that balanced approach benefits the long term shareholder. One of the metrics that I believe, David, is a good measure of evaluating capital deployment effectiveness is ROIC, and if you look at ROIC over the last three years, we’ve averaged around high teens, and that’s on the higher end of the med tech peers that we often get compared to, so." --- (ABT, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"Cash provided by (used for) financing activities in the first six months of 2023 included proceeds from issuances of common stock pursuant to employee stock compensation and purchase plans of $90 million, cash used to net share settle employee equity awards of $52 million and payments of contingent consideration previously established in purchase accounting of $39 million. Financial Covenant" --- (BSX, sec filing, 2024/Q2)

"The increase in total debt was driven by commercial paper outstanding of $1.1 billion, partially offset by fluctuations in exchange rates." --- (MDT, sec filing, 2024/Q4)

Future Outlook and Industry Predictions

MedTech companies foresee potential volatility due to global conflicts and currency fluctuations, impacting revenue growth and operations. Despite uncertainties, firms like JNJ are optimistic about product expansions, while others like ZBH adjust growth forecasts to account for economic conditions. The overall outlook remains cautiously optimistic with strategic market penetrations.

"Although the implications of this conflict are difficult to predict at this time, the ongoing conflict may increase pressure on the global economy and supply chains, resulting in increased future volatility risk for our business operations and performance." --- (MDT, sec filing, 2024/Q4)

"I was hoping you could do the same for the US spine industry. And just your outlook there." --- (SYK, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"Regarding our outlook for the rest of the year, we are reiterating our full year constant currency revenue growth guidance of 5% to 6%, but given further strengthening of the U.S. dollar, we are updating our reported revenue growth to 4% to 5% and now expect 100 basis points of currency headwind for the full year, which should impact Q3 more than Q4." --- (ZBH, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"It is not possible to predict the extent to which Abbott or the health care industry in general might be adversely affected by these factors in the future." --- (ABT, sec filing, 2024/Q2)

"And so we've got a bold outlook for SPRAVATO as we continue to launch it into more markets and as we are able to even further penetrate the existing markets that we're in into a bit more of the community setting there." --- (JNJ, earning call, 2024/Q1)

See also