Legal Investigations and Their Impact on Investor Confidence in Financial Markets
July 23, 2024
Note: We reveal investment insights through the quotes of top business leaders.
Key Takeaways
- Legal investigations in financial markets can significantly impact investor confidence by affecting company reputations, operational focus, and financial performance.
- Historical examples, such as Alphabet and Apple, show that regulatory and litigation risks can lead to substantial share price drops and erode market value.
- Ongoing legal challenges and geopolitical tensions require significant management time and financial resources, potentially impacting product development and revenue.
- Investor sentiment is influenced by market conditions, security threats, and competition from new financial technologies, with confidence in retirement savings varying across demographics.
Types of Legal Investigations in Financial Markets
Legal investigations in financial markets encompass a range of issues, including reputational and social risks, improperly marked liquid products, regulatory elements affecting M&A, litigation and regulatory proceedings, and potential violations of federal securities laws and other unlawful business practices.
"The 2023 edition of the Viewpoint Diversity Business Index showed that many of the largest financial institutions include vague and subjective grounds to deny service like reputational risk, social risk, misinformation, hate speech or These kinds of terms allow financial institutions to deny or restrict services for arbitrary or discriminatory reasons. When companies engage in this kind of discrimination, they hinder the ability of Americans to access the marketplace, undermining the fundamental freedoms of our country." --- (MS, event transcript, 2024/05/23)
"And the problem in financial markets are often caused by the not good one. So people make the mistakes and that you have liquid products, maybe they're not properly marked, they have not been stress tested." --- (JPM, conference, 2024/05/29)
"So, if you put it all together, I think we expect the rate environment and the financing markets to continue to be accommodative and as well as to a continued deal-making with M&A being a bit larger in the overall mix, although some of the regulatory elements have put a damper on part of that." --- (C, earning call, 2024/Q2)
"In addition to the estimates we make in connection with fair value measurements and the allowance for credit losses on loans and lending commitments held for investment and accounted for at amortized cost, the use of estimates and assumptions is also important in determining discretionary compensation accruals, the accounting for goodwill and identifiable intangible assets, provisions for losses that may arise from litigation and regulatory proceedings (including governmental investigations), and accounting for income taxes." --- (GS, sec filing, 2024/Q1)
"Our investigations concern whether these companies have violated the federal securities laws and/or engaged in other unlawful business practices." --- (MS, press release, 2024/04/23)
Historical Impact on Investor Confidence
Legal investigations have historically impacted investor confidence by affecting company reputations, operational focus, and financial performance. For instance, Alphabet's regulatory and litigation risks have posed profound risks to investors, while Apple's legal challenges have led to significant share price drops, eroding market value and investor trust.
"It directly impacts Alphabet's reputation, operational focus, and ultimately, its long term financial performance. NOPC's proposal seeks to remedy this issue by asking members of the board of directors to disclose their political and charitable contributions, which will give shareholders greater insight into any personal biases that drive decisions that appear publicly to be politically left wing culture, exemplified most by the negative reaction among its senior leaders to the election of President Trump in 2016." --- (GOOG, event transcript, 2024/06/07)
"undermines innovation for apps, and imposes extraordinary costs on developers, businesses and consumers." On this news, Apple shares dropped by 4.29% in intraday trading on the same day, erasing about $113 billion in market value and taking their year-to-date loss back to 11%." --- (AAPL, press release, 2024/04/02)
"While the societal risks seem clear, the risks to investors are also profound. Alphabet has been subject to heightened regulatory and litigation risk in recent years." --- (GOOG, event transcript, 2024/06/07)
"And I was wondering if you thought AI from big picture and it doesn't have to be on a long-term basis, I mean from a big picture, if AI is an opportunity for you to continue to monetize your mobile real estate, just how you -- how maybe investors can think about that from a big picture, just given that's been one of the concerns that's potentially been an overhang, of course, due to, you know, a lot of the news and the media around some of the legal cases?" --- (AAPL, earning call, 2024/Q2)
"Since 2021, Share has been engaging with Alphabet on AI Driven Target Advertising and the risks that such technology may pose to the company and its shareholders. In 2022, we filed a similar proposal at Alphabet, which received support from over 47% of independent shareholders." --- (GOOG, event transcript, 2024/06/07)
Future Implications for Investor Confidence
Ongoing legal challenges and geopolitical tensions are expected to continue, requiring significant management time and financial resources, potentially impacting product development, operations, and revenue. Investor confidence may be shaken by these uncertainties and the associated risks, as companies navigate compliance and strategic adjustments in a volatile environment.
"We expect that such challenges, regardless of their merits, will continue into the foreseeable future and will require the investment of substantial management time and financial resources." --- (QCOM, sec filing, 2024/Q2)
"We have not experienced significant impact or expense to our business; however, if the conflict is further extended, it could impact future product development, operations, and revenue or create other uncertainty for our business. First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2025 Summary" --- (NVDA, sec filing, 2025/Q1)
"Investors are increasingly alarmed by the human rights and financial material risks associated by the company's proximity to war crimes perpetrated by Russia's military. The company states it's complying with all current sanctions, but this is the bare minimum required and in the face of Russian aggression." --- (TXN, event transcript, 2024/04/25)
"These challenges have required, and may in the future require, the investment of significant management time and attention and have resulted, and may in the future result, in significant legal costs." --- (QCOM, sec filing, 2024/Q2)
"Given the increasing strategic importance of AI and rising geopolitical tensions, the USG has changed and may again change the export control rules at any time and further subject a wider range of our products to export restrictions and licensing requirements, negatively impacting our business and financial results." --- (NVDA, sec filing, 2025/Q1)
Investor Sentiment Analysis
Investor sentiment is influenced by various factors, including market conditions, security threats, and competition from new financial technologies. Additionally, confidence in retirement savings varies significantly across demographics, reflecting a complex landscape of investor sentiment.
"Changes in the governance of a digital asset network may not receive sufficient support from users and miners, which may negatively affect that digital asset network's ability to grow and respond to challenges Investing in the Trust comes with risks that could impact the Trust's share value, including large-scale sales by major investors, security threats like breaches and hacking, negative sentiment among speculators, and competition from central bank digital currencies and financial initiatives using blockchain technology." --- (BLK, press release, 2024/07/22)
""Confidence in retirement has varied for the last nine years—and while we have seen increases when markets are up—when we look at sentiment broken out by gender, generation, and access to a retirement savings plan, it tells a complicated story," said Rob Crothers, Head of U.S. Retirement, Global Product Solutions." --- (BLK, press release, 2024/07/10)