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John Deere's Strategy: Layoffs and Manufacturing Moves to Mexico

August 2, 2024

Note: We reveal investment insights through the quotes of top business leaders.

Key Takeaways

  • John Deere is moving manufacturing to Mexico to stay ahead of demand changes and achieve significant cost reductions in raw materials, freight, and overhead.
  • The company faces operational challenges including competitive pressures, regulatory issues, and labor disruptions.
  • John Deere's competitive positioning is strengthened by its strong dealer network, customer demand for upgraded technology, and improved operational efficiency.
  • The company is strategically reducing production in the short term to maintain margins and better respond to future retail demand.
  • Challenges in the ag and turf markets are anticipated due to softening grower sentiment influenced by rising global stocks, lower commodity prices, high interest rates, and weather volatility.

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Benefits of Moving Manufacturing to Mexico

By moving manufacturing to Mexico, John Deere aims to stay ahead of demand changes, react efficiently to market movements, and achieve significant cost reductions in raw materials, freight, and overhead, enhancing overall manufacturing efficiency.

"The key here is that by staying ahead of demand changes, we're giving ourselves the optionality to react most efficiently to whichever way the market moves in the next year." --- (DE, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"So that's what drove most of the cost increase in the quarter. We're on track to deliver the $2 billion of cost reductions we talked about at the beginning of the year of raw manufacturing costs, material costs as well as freight and overhead." --- (F, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"The cost reduction efforts are important given we have seen some manufacturing overhead efficiencies associated with managing to lower production levels." --- (DE, earning call, 2024/Q2)

Operational Challenges and Risks

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"We face continuing market, operating and regulatory challenges in several countries across the globe due to, among other factors, competitive pressures, our product portfolio offerings, heightened emission standards, labor disruptions, foreign exchange volatility, evolving trade policy and political uncertainty." --- (GM, sec filing, 2024/Q1)

"Our value creation framework is working. While the economic backdrop remains fluid, we are deploying our rigorous operating playbook to effectively manage near-term challenges to meet our performance targets." --- (HON, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"And I think you can admit, Emmanuel, the amount of disruption we're seeing in the industry right now brings with it risk, but brings with it tremendous opportunities." --- (F, conference, 2024/06/11)

"This resolution was submitted with other co filers, and we are concerned that Tesla's existing policy fails to clearly explain how conflicts between international and local labor law will be resolved and because of clear indications that Tesla is not adhering to its current policy despite the operational, legal, human capital management, and reputational risks involved." --- (TSLA, event transcript, 2024/06/13)

"So there's some impact on that project. We're still working through to assess what the final impact is going to be in terms of how we source and how we build that vehicle." --- (GM, conference, 2024/06/11)

Competitive Positioning Post-Strategy Implementation

John Deere's competitive positioning post-strategy implementation is bolstered by its strong dealer network, customer demand for upgraded technology, and improved operational efficiency. Additionally, aligning the cost structure and navigating a competitive pricing landscape further enhance its market stance.

"So, while the competitive landscape continues to expand in the region, we feel confident not only in our ability to deliver additional value to our customers via our integrated solutions, but also through the strong dealer network that we've worked hard to build out. These dealers are providing industry" --- (DE, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"Josh Jepsen: Yes, Rob. The one thing I would add is I think the other -- the piece that gives us confidence as well is no matter where the customer is in that ladder, whether they're the first owner or the fifth, there's a strong desire to keep upgrading technology, become more productive, more efficient and be able to execute those jobs in tighter time frames." --- (DE, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"The only other point I'd highlight is around pricing. In addition to strong demand, we're also seeing strong competition, bolstered by industry inventory levels that have recovered and a shift in the competitive landscape with a stronger U.S. dollar." --- (DE, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"We're also getting the cost structure aligned. So that will benefit us as we go forward." --- (DE, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"Those windows get tighter and the ability to both cover more ground more quickly at all levels and all customers, I think, helps us drive confidence together with the fleet age, drives confidence that we will consume that product." --- (DE, earning call, 2024/Q2)

Future Outlook and Strategic Direction

John Deere is strategically reducing production in the short term to maintain margins and better respond to future retail demand. However, the company anticipates challenges in the ag and turf markets due to softening grower sentiment influenced by rising global stocks, lower commodity prices, high interest rates, and weather volatility.

"The net effect of that, obviously, is lower productions in the back half, while maintaining good margins throughout PPA, but putting us in the best position going forward relative to responding to retail demand in the future." --- (DE, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"Slide 6 provides our industry outlook for ag and turf markets globally. Across all our major markets, we see continued softening in grower sentiment as the combined impacts of rising global stocks, lower commodity prices, high interest rates and weather volatility weigh on customer purchase decisions." --- (DE, earning call, 2024/Q2)

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