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Imminent Rate Cuts: Benefits for Infrastructure Stocks

August 2, 2024

Note: We reveal investment insights through the quotes of top business leaders.

Key Takeaways

  • Rate cuts can significantly lower borrowing costs for infrastructure companies, enhancing their financing capabilities.
  • Reduced interest expenses can lead to increased capital expenditures, driving growth and expansion in the sector.
  • Companies are adjusting financial strategies to align with economic changes, ensuring resilience and adaptability.
  • Enhanced dividend yields from infrastructure stocks provide attractive returns for shareholders.
  • Sector-specific benefits include improved supply chain investments, asset utilization, and cost reductions, boosting overall efficiency and growth.

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Reduction in Borrowing Costs

Rate cuts can lower borrowing costs for infrastructure stocks, as changing interest rates and economic conditions influence future borrowing expenses (AMZN). Reduced interest expenses on external borrowings directly benefit infrastructure financing (IBM).

"In addition, economic conditions and actions by policymaking bodies are contributing to changing interest rates and significant capital market volatility, which, along with any increases in our borrowing levels, could increase our future borrowing costs." --- (AMZN, sec filing, 2024/Q1)

"Interest expense is presented in cost of financing in the Consolidated Income Statement if the related external borrowings are to support the Financing external business." --- (IBM, sec filing, 2024/Q2)

Influence on Capital Expenditure Plans

Infrastructure companies like Honeywell, Boeing, Caterpillar, and General Electric are planning significant capital expenditures in 2024, with a focus on high-return investments and capacity expansions. Rate cuts could enhance their ability to finance these plans, potentially leading to increased spending and accelerated growth.

"We also continue to execute on our capital deployment strategy, putting our robust balance sheet to work through $1.6 billion, including $700 million in dividends, $700 million in share repurchases and $200 million in high-return capital expenditures." --- (HON, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"We continue to expect capital expenditures in 2024 to be higher than in 2023. Financing Activities Cash used by financing activities was $4.5 billion during the three months ended March 31, 2024 compared with $1.7 billion during the same period in 2023." --- (BA, sec filing, 2024/Q1)

"In 2024, we expect restructuring costs to be between $300 million and $450 million and expect capital expenditures to be in the range of $2.0 to $2.5 billion." --- (CAT, sec filing, 2024/Q1)

"I think more than anything, what we wanted to do was make sure we were supporting the fixed capital investments required to operationalize FLIGHT DECK to prepare for the capacity expansions and in some instances, be it additive or in some other technologies like CMCs that we were getting out ahead of demand to the fullest extent possible." --- (GE, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"In addition, because a large portion of our future expenditures will be to fund our growth, we expect that if needed we will be able to adjust our capital and operating expenditures by operating segment." --- (TSLA, sec filing, 2024/Q1)

Adjustments in Financial Strategies

JPMorgan Chase is proactively adjusting its financial strategies, including potential rate feed modifications, to align with its overall strategy and respond to ongoing economic, regulatory, and legal developments.

"And with that, we want to make sure we're executing on our strategy, which could mean that we might need to make adjustments to our rate feed." --- (JPM, event transcript, 2024/05/20)

"Each of these factors will affect the performance of the Firm. The Firm will continue to make appropriate adjustments to its businesses and operations in response to ongoing developments in the business, economic, regulatory and legal environments in which it operates." --- (JPM, sec filing, 2024/Q1)

Enhancement of Dividend Yields

Infrastructure stocks like Duke Energy and Southern Company are enhancing dividend yields, with Duke Energy highlighting its attractive yields and Southern Company increasing its annual common dividend by $0.08 per share, reinforcing their value propositions to shareholders.

"We are well positioned to achieve our growth targets for the year, which combined with our attractive dividend yields provide a compelling risk-adjusted return for shareholders. With that, we'll open the line for your questions." --- (DUK, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"An important part of our value proposition is a remarkable track record of our dividend. The Southern Company Board of Directors recently approved an $0.08 per share increase in our annual common dividend." --- (SO, event transcript, 2024/05/22)

Sector-Specific Benefits

Rate cuts can enhance infrastructure stocks by boosting supply chain investments, improving asset utilization, and reducing costs. Companies like CSX, NSC, and UNP highlight benefits such as increased efficiency, revenue growth, and better service, all of which are facilitated by lower borrowing costs and higher investment capacity.

"And we talked about this before, but a supply -- their supply chains are being viewed as competitive advantages and being closer to your end consumer, which we have the most valuable consumers in our network in the world, it's becoming a priority, and we're seeing those investments take place to really happen." --- (CSX, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"So, we’ve made tremendous progress there. In addition, we’ve got restructuring benefits, the reduction of the 300 plus non-agreement workers, most of those have already left here in middle of April and there’s a few more that leave at the end of May, but we’re going to start really harvesting those benefits." --- (NSC, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"Although we are encouraged by these results, there are ample opportunities ahead for us to further improve asset utilization and the efficiency of our network." --- (UNP, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"It's always a balance and we manage the portfolio accordingly. And where there's opportunities, obviously to gain more-and-more volume, we work with our customers, but it's a core to what we -- how our growth algorithm works." --- (CSX, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"We're improving service. We're reducing costs. We're growing revenue in a tough freight environment, and we're enhancing our safety." --- (NSC, earning call, 2024/Q2)

Long-Term Growth Prospects

Infrastructure companies like AMT, EQIX, SBAC, CCI, and DLR emphasize long-term growth prospects through strategic investments, organic growth, and sustainable practices, ensuring robust returns and stockholder value over time.

"But longer-term growth rates are really important, too, on our own business as well as where we invest, we'll be looking at the returns beyond day one as well." --- (AMT, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"as part of the long-term growth story for the business.Turning to our industry-leading global interconnection franchise, we now have more than 468,000 total interconnections deployed on our platform." --- (EQIX, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"Things don't change materially overnight, but the signs of numerous demand drivers are all there, and we are confident in our long-term organic growth prospects.In our services business, we had another good quarter as well." --- (SBAC, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"We measure our efforts to create "long-term stockholder value" by the combined payment of dividends to stockholders and growth in our per-share results." --- (CCI, sec filing, 2024/Q1)

"We're investing in this for the long-term, for long-term sustainable growth." --- (DLR, earning call, 2024/Q1)

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