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C3.ai Inc. (AI) 2025 Q1 Earnings Call Summary

September 4, 2024 C3.ai Inc. (AI)

Market Cap0.21T
Beta
P/E39.75452774136047
EPS12.247158441111395
Dividend0
Dividend Yield0.00%
  • Optimistic Highlights

    • Exceeded Expectations

    Exceeded all expectations for revenue, cash flow, and profitability in Q1 FY25.

    • Revenue Growth

    Achieved 21% year-over-year revenue growth, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of accelerating growth.

    • Strong Customer Acquisition

    Closed 71 agreements, including 72 new pilots, marking a 117% year-over-year increase in pilot count.

    • Positive Cash Flow

    Generated $8 million in net cash from operating activities and $7.1 million in free cash flow.

    • High Customer Satisfaction

    High levels of customer satisfaction and increasing demand for enterprise AI applications.

  • Pessimistic Highlights

    • GAAP Operating Loss

    Reported a GAAP operating loss of $72.6 million.

    • Short-term Margin Pressure

    Expected short-term pressure on gross margins due to a higher mix of pilots.

    • Free Cash Flow Negative

    Expected to be free cash flow negative for Q2 and Q3 FY25.

    • Expense Growth

    Year-over-year expense growth rate was 12%, which is lower than revenue growth but still significant.

    • Complex Business Modeling

    Difficulty in modeling the business due to the complexity and variety of AI applications.

  • Company Outlook

    • Revenue Guidance

    Revenue guidance for Q2 is $88.6 million to $93.6 million, maintaining previous guidance of $370 million to $395 million for FY25.

    • Path to Profitability

    Expected to be cash flow positive in Q4 FY25 and for the entire fiscal year.

    • Expansion Focus

    Focused on expanding sales capacity, North America, Europe, and the public sector.

    • Partner Network Growth

    Significant growth in partner-supported bookings, particularly with Google Cloud.

    • Long-term Profitability

    Believes revenue growth rates will generally exceed expense growth rates, leading to non-GAAP profitability.

  • Q & A Highlights

    • Q: Characterizing the Tone of Business in Q1 (Patrick Walravens, from JMP Securities)

      A: The business environment is complex and dynamic, especially with the advent of generative AI. The company is finding a broad range of applications for enterprise AI, many of which were unanticipated. (Thomas Siebel)

    • Q: Why the Guidance Didn't Go Up Despite Strong Bookings (Patrick Walravens, from JMP Securities)

      A: The current guidance still represents 19% to 27% revenue growth, making C3 AI one of the fastest-growing companies in the public software universe. (Hitesh Lath)

    • Q: Trends in Subscription Revenue and Professional Services (Timothy Horan, from Oppenheimer)

      A: Subscription and services revenue will continue to bounce around 10% to 20%. Services margins are over 90%, making it a good business. (Thomas Siebel)

    • Q: Competitive Dynamics (Timothy Horan, from Oppenheimer)

      A: The main competition is the IT organizations trying to build applications themselves, which often come back to C3 AI after failing. (Edward Abbo)

    • Q: Size and Value of Pilots (Michael Latimore, from Northland Capital Markets)

      A: The value of enterprise AI pilots is about $0.5 million, and generative AI pilots are about $0.25 million. Approximately 70% of pilots convert to production contracts. (Thomas Siebel)

    • Q: Confidence in Q2 Revenue Growth (Michael Latimore, from Northland Capital Markets)

      A: The guidance is based on the best professional judgment, and the company has consistently met or exceeded guidance in the past. (Thomas Siebel)

    • Q: Partner Efforts Outside of GCP (Kingsley Crane, from Canaccord Genuity)

      A: Relationships with AWS, Microsoft Azure, and other partners are strong, contributing significantly to the business. (Thomas Siebel)

    • Q: State and Local Agreements (Kingsley Crane, from Canaccord Genuity)

      A: Most state and local agreements start as pilots and then convert to production. (Thomas Siebel)

View original C3.ai Inc. earnings transcript →

Company key drivers

Note: all the quotes from earning call transcript

Driver 2: Subscription Revenue Growth

Subscription revenue is a key driver of overall revenue.

Driver 4: Generative AI Demand

High demand for generative AI applications drives growth.

Driver 5: Federal and Government Contracts

Government contracts provide stable revenue and growth opportunities.

Driver 7: Partnerships and Ecosystem Growth

Strong partnerships enhance market reach and revenue potential.