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UPS's Strategic Steps to Tackle Recent Performance Challenges

September 19, 2024

Note: We reveal investment insights through the quotes of top business leaders.

Key Takeaways

  • UPS is investing $1 billion in technology and network capabilities to enhance operational efficiency and customer service.
  • The company is actively managing costs through strategic debt refinancing and outsourcing pension management to improve profitability.
  • UPS anticipates a slower growth rate initially, with expectations for a pickup in the latter half of the year supported by a strong sales pipeline.
  • Sustainability initiatives are integral to UPS's strategy, aligning with industry trends to enhance community well-being and operational resilience.
  • Key performance metrics will be closely monitored to drive improvements and address recent challenges effectively.

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Overview of Recent Operational Challenges Faced by UPS

UPS is currently facing significant operational challenges, including a $94 million settlement related to Italian tax issues and broader industry pressures from macroeconomic uncertainties and potential labor disruptions at U.S. East Coast ports, which are straining carrier capacity.

"International Regulatory Matter In the second quarter of 2024, we made a payment of $94 million of previously restricted cash to settle a previously-disclosed challenge by Italian tax authorities to the deductibility of Value Added Tax payments by UPS to certain third-party service providers, a review of which was launched in the fourth quarter of 2023." --- (UPS, sec filing, 2024/Q2)

"At the same time, there are indications that shippers may be accelerating the timing of traditional peak season volume in light of these challenges, macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty, as well as the potential for labor issues at the U.S. East Coast ports, which are further straining available carrier capacity." --- (CHRW, sec filing, 2024/Q2)

"And we meaningfully improved our return on invested capital. The entire industry faced a challenging demand environment in FY 2024." --- (FDX, earning call, 2024/Q4)

"But overall, I think it's just as we look at things sequentially, maybe more so than just a year-over-year, given that challenge is what can we achieve relative to what normal seasonality would be and what we've seen at least so far through July." --- (ODFL, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"During the second quarter, we made a $94 million payment, including interest, to settle a previously-disclosed challenge by Italian tax authorities to the deductibility of Value Added Tax payments by UPS to certain third-party service providers." --- (UPS, sec filing, 2024/Q2)

Initiatives to Enhance Operational Efficiency and Technology Investments

UPS is focusing on a $1 billion investment in technology and network capabilities for 2024, alongside initiatives like Smart Package and Smart Facility to enhance shipment visibility and operational efficiency. Looking ahead, UPS plans to prioritize capital spending to optimize its network and improve automation.

"inflects positively and we return to that normalized growth rate. And through these efforts, we are significantly improving the profitability of the company as we lower our cost to serve, enhance capital efficiency and better serve our customers with market leading capabilities." --- (FDX, conference, 2024/05/29)

"Our 2024 investment program anticipates investments in technology initiatives and enhanced network capabilities, including approximately $1.0 billion of projects that support our environmental sustainability goals." --- (UPS, sec filing, 2024/Q1)

"So now you can imagine the room for improved density and efficiency. So that brings me to our transformation and how we're changing the way we run our business to better align with market demand and operate more efficiently." --- (FDX, conference, 2024/05/29)

"Together, our Smart Package, Smart Facility and Network of the Future initiatives are providing enhanced shipment visibility for our customers and driving efficiency." --- (UPS, sec filing, 2024/Q2)

"Looking ahead to FY 2025, we anticipate capital spend of $5.2 billion, which will again be down year-over-year as a percentage of revenue and we'll work by prioritizing our capital toward optimizing our network as part of Network 2.0 and further enhancing our fleet and automation to improve operating efficiency." --- (FDX, earning call, 2024/Q4)

Cost Management and Competitive Strategies for Profitability

UPS is actively managing costs and enhancing profitability through strategic debt refinancing and outsourcing pension management. Additionally, lower fuel costs have positively impacted total expenses, although challenges remain from competitive pressures and market dynamics. These steps are crucial for navigating profitability in a challenging environment.

"To get to $7.2 billion of adjusted operating profit, we're now assuming revenue net of variable cost and continued inflationary pressures is up $100 million, US Postal Service contract termination results in a $500 million headwind, international export yield pressure of $400 million as demand surcharges diminish and mix continues shifting toward our deferred services and two fewer operating days in the year decreases profitability by $300 million. And as a side note, we've not" --- (FDX, earning call, 2024/Q4)

"In May, we successfully issued $2.8 billion of debt to refinance $1.6 billion in current maturities which will shore up additional liquidity and support our acquisition strategy. And in the quarter, we announced that we would be outsourcing the asset management portion of our pension plan in order to focus squarely on our" --- (UPS, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"The same goes to rural coverage as well as large packages. So yes, it's competitive, but I think the team is doing a really good job of navigating kind of market share, profit market share growth with getting the right yield for the right package and working really, really closely with the operations. So I'm incredibly pleased." --- (FDX, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"And lastly, lower fuel costs contributed to the decrease in total expense. The U.S. domestic segment delivered $839 million in operating profit, down 43.6% compared to the first quarter of 2023, and operating margin was 5.9%." --- (UPS, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"Decisions like these are never easy, but are a necessary step to improve profitability in the region." --- (FDX, earning call, 2024/Q2)

Enhancements in Customer Service and Satisfaction

UPS is focusing on continuous improvement to enhance customer satisfaction, as highlighted by industry competitors. FedEx emphasizes service and speed advantages, while Zebra Technologies advocates for a shift towards customer service-centric operations. These insights underline the competitive landscape and the necessity for UPS to elevate its customer service strategies.

"They are always looking at how to drive continuous improvement to increase customer satisfaction and value." --- (ZBRA, event transcript, 2024/05/14)

"engagement in our original and partner content. Our health services business is growing robustly as customers are loving our pharmacy customer experience, and we've launched same-day delivery of prescription medications to customers in eight cities, including Los Angeles and New York City, with plans to expand to more than a dozen cities by the end of the year with customers now getting first fill medications 75% faster year-over-year nationwide." --- (AMZN, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"Service is good. And in fact, as I've mentioned previously, this also solves our single pickup feature of service, which has been just a huge opportunity for us as we move forward from small business acquisition." --- (FDX, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"Improve customer satisfaction ✅ streamline tasks ✅ shift your store operations to be more customer service-based than task-based." --- (ZBRA, twitter, 2024/05/15)

"Our service and speed advantages continue to attract customers in high value industries and segments." --- (FDX, earning call, 2024/Q2)

Future Growth Strategies and Outlook

UPS anticipates a slower growth rate initially, with a pickup expected in the latter half of the year, supported by a strong sales pipeline. Their strategic focus remains on becoming a premium small package provider, aligning with their "Better and Bolder" approach for future growth.

"So we expected the growth rate to be slower and then to pick up as we move into the second quarter and the rest of the year." --- (UPS, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"And even if we assume flat from a Q3 to Q1, that would be 4.5% growth. So any way you cut it, we see the back end of the year and most important, it's the visibility on the sales pipeline that we're pulling through and the volume levels we're seeing going into Q2. Conor Cunningham : Super helpful. Thank you." --- (UPS, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"As we move forward, we are staying on strategy and under our Better and Bolder approach, we are pursuing our declarations to become the premium small package provider and logistics partner in the world." --- (UPS, earning call, 2024/Q1)

Impact of Economic Conditions on UPS's Performance

Challenging economic conditions, including declines in consumer spending and geopolitical factors, have significantly impacted UPS's performance, leading to decreased export volumes and a 4.6% drop in Ground commercial shipments. These factors reflect a broader trend affecting the logistics industry.

"For both the quarter and year to date, the decrease in export volume was driven by declines on intra-Europe trade lanes as challenging economic conditions continued to impact consumer spending." --- (UPS, sec filing, 2024/Q2)

"Awesome. Within Ground, let's switch over to Ground for a bit. Starting with volumes, virtually again no growth as economy and Ground Commercial have offset home delivery declines. Just a statement of the economy or is there" --- (FDX, conference call, 2024/05/13)

"Challenging economic conditions and geopolitical factors contributed to the volume declines." --- (UPS, sec filing, 2024/Q1)

"The decline in U.S. imports of consumer goods that started in late 2022, along with slowed global industrial production, has contributed to weakened economic conditions for the transportation industry." --- (FDX, sec filing, 2024/Q4)

"Average daily volume for Ground commercial shipments decreased 4.6% for the quarter (down 5.1% year to date), due to the impact of general economic conditions discussed above." --- (UPS, sec filing, 2024/Q2)

Sustainability Initiatives and Their Role in Strategy

UPS emphasizes its commitment to sustainability as essential for fostering strong communities, reflecting a strategic focus on environmental responsibility. This aligns with broader industry trends where companies are increasingly integrating sustainability into their core strategies to address performance challenges and enhance community well-being.

"We believe that companies play a vital role in building strong, healthy, and sustainable communities for the future." --- (UPS, Twitter, 2024/07/05)

"Amazon pats itself on the back for its climate efforts, but the company does next to nothing to protect its workers who are suffering climate change every single day or ensure that folks like me and my coworkers don't get the short end of the stick as the company pushes advanced technologies like autonomous vehicles, which their manufacturers promote as climate friendly solutions?" --- (AMZN, event transcript, 2024/05/22)

"We invested billions of dollars, and we now have enabled 500+ solar and wind projects globally, and can generate enough energy to power the equivalent of more than 7.6 million U.S. homes." --- (AMZN, Twitter, 2024/07/11)

Key Performance Metrics to Monitor Progress

UPS is focusing on key levers to enhance performance metrics in the second half of the year, emphasizing the importance of segment evaluations to monitor progress effectively. Management is committed to refining these metrics to drive improvement and address recent performance challenges.

"And then maybe why -- what are key levers to see that mix performance improve, as we look at second half. Thank you." --- (UPS, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"And then maybe why -- what are key levers to see that mix performance improve, as we look at second half." --- (UPS, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"UNITED PARCEL SERVICE, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS Results of Operations - Segment Review The results and discussions that follow are reflective of how management monitors and evaluates the performance of our segments as defined in note 13 to the unaudited, consolidated financial statements." --- (UPS, sec filing, 2024/Q2)

See also