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The Future of Package Delivery: Business Insights from UPS and FedEx

July 11, 2024

Note: We reveal investment insights through the quotes of top business leaders.

Key Takeaways

  • Technological advancements are enhancing efficiency and customer satisfaction, with UPS and FedEx investing in real-time visibility and optimization technologies.
  • Sustainability initiatives are a priority, with both companies focusing on reducing costs, energy consumption, and greenhouse gas emissions.
  • The competitive landscape is evolving, with UPS adapting to changes in customer mix and FedEx optimizing delivery density and leveraging priority express products.
  • Customer expectations are shifting towards faster delivery options, with significant growth in same-day and next-day services.
  • Operational efficiencies and technological integration are key, with both companies optimizing networks and leveraging existing assets to improve cost-effectiveness.

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Technological Advancements in Package Delivery

Technological advancements in package delivery are driving efficiency and customer satisfaction. FedEx highlights optimization and real-time visibility technologies, while UPS focuses on package card readers and an innovation-driven strategy to reduce misloads and enhance service. Both companies are investing in technology to streamline operations and improve delivery experiences.

"The driver of this is efficiency gain, capability. I think it's very simply when we have as I said in my opening remarks, we have 2 trucks coming to business delivering multiple package, there's some significant density and we have optimized the customer for that. But when you're delivering to your house and you" --- (FDX, conference, 2024/05/29)

"Package card readers will enable us to further reduce our misloads, which will improve efficiency and the customer experience." --- (UPS, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"Because it's sought and delivered, not just delivered. So if you look at our FedEx facility, packages come in and out, they've moved through it in minutes." --- (FDX, conference, 2024/05/29)

"Moving to our strategic update, through our customer-first, people-led, innovation-driven strategy, we are investing to grow in the premium parts of the market and drive efficiency." --- (UPS, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"Surround gives customers real-time visibility into their shipments by combining information about the package with external data, such as weather, to predict delivery timeliness and to mitigate the risk of disruption." --- (FDX, earning call, 2024/Q4)

Sustainability Initiatives in Package Delivery

UPS and FedEx are actively pursuing sustainability initiatives. UPS focuses on cost management, sustainable delivery solutions, and reducing energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions. FedEx's DRIVE initiatives and grants for small businesses emphasize sustainability and innovation, reflecting their commitment to environmentally responsible practices.

"• Lower pickup and delivery costs, which decreased $22 million as a result of lower volumes and the impact of cost management initiatives." --- (UPS, sec filing, 2024/Q1)

"FedEx Express operating results declined primarily due to lower international yields, partially offset by reduced structural costs from DRIVE initiatives and higher U.S. domestic package yields." --- (FDX, press release, 2024/06/25)

"Roadie's solutions include: local same-day delivery, delivery from warehouse with in-house sortation, oversized delivery, sustainable delivery, returns and more." --- (UPS, press release, 2024/06/05)

""As a small business, winning this FedEx grant is a powerful validation of our commitment to sustainability and innovation and we are beyond grateful for the support it provides."" --- (FDX, press release, 2024/05/16)

"And we provide additional information about our diversity and inclusion efforts in our risk and opportunities associated with our approach and our progress towards our environmental sustainability goals, including energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions." --- (UPS, event transcript, 2024/05/02)

Competitive Landscape in Package Delivery

UPS is adapting to changes in customer and product mix, impacting revenue per piece growth. Meanwhile, FedEx is focusing on leveraging its priority express product and optimizing delivery density, using both Express and Ground services to enhance operational efficiency.

"This was offset by a couple of factors. First, changes in customer and product mix due to growth in sure post combined with changes in package characteristics decreased the revenue per piece growth rate by 180 basis points." --- (UPS, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"Purple designed to really leverage the priority, express product, largely parcel, and to focus on not only that parcel delivery, but also to maximize density on our purple tails." --- (FDX, conference, 2024/05/13)

"So you might see a FedEx Express truck drop off a package at your house, followed by a FedEx ground truck sometimes delivering another package later in the day." --- (FDX, conference, 2024/05/29)

Evolving Customer Expectations

Customers increasingly expect faster delivery options, with significant growth in same-day and next-day services. International air cargo demand, particularly from Asia, has also surged, reflecting a broader trend towards quicker and more reliable shipping solutions.

"And it's been exciting to see just these last few months that delivery is now exceeding the other channels, which is great which gives the customer a lot of optionality and then the number that Doug mentioned earlier 4.4 billion units delivered same day next day is exciting and it's growing quickly and as he also mentioned about 20% of that is sub-three hours and we've expanded that service earlier in the morning, later at night so we're becoming even more convenient for individuals for shoppers and families in a -- in terms of being able to serve all of their needs." --- (WMT, earning call, 2025/Q1)

"International air cargo demand from Asia accelerated in early May and is stronger versus previous expectations." --- (FDX, earning call, 2024/Q4)

Operational Efficiencies and Technological Integration

FedEx and UPS are enhancing operational efficiencies by optimizing networks and leveraging existing assets. FedEx focuses on process optimization in Europe and its surface network, while UPS integrates its network to handle increased volumes efficiently. Both companies aim to streamline operations and improve cost-effectiveness through technological integration.

"And we're looking at every aspect of our operation in Europe. There will be new leadership as well, and we're going to continue to focus not only on the commercial side but some operational efficiencies, including the network." --- (FDX, earning call, 2024/Q4)

"We will leverage our integrated network and existing assets, and we expect the majority of the volume will fit within our current U.S. domestic daytime flight operations." --- (UPS, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"I'm happy to report that through all our hard work, combined with strong demand from our dedicated customer base and lower inflation, all this resulted in 2023 operating income of $37,000,000,000 more than triple 20 22's operating income of $12,000,000,000 There are 3 primary drivers for this improvement: First, in stores, our focus on reducing cost to serve, which benefited from our shift to a regionalized fulfillment network." --- (AMZN, event transcript, 2024/05/22)

"The majority of the savings will come from the surface network and our legacy Express operations as we're looking to optimize our processes, improve efficiencies there." --- (FDX, earning call, 2024/Q4)

"While there were no significant changes to our allocation methodologies in the first quarter of 2024, we expect additional air cargo volumes from our recently-announced agreement with the USPS will result in a greater share of air network expense being allocated to Supply Chain Solutions beginning in the second quarter of 2024." --- (UPS, sec filing, 2024/Q1)

Financial Performance and Strategic Investments

UPS and FedEx are focusing on strategic investments and financial performance. UPS appointed a new CFO to drive shareholder value and liquidated $2.6 billion in marketable securities for strategic needs. FedEx emphasized improved earnings, capital discipline, and strategic investments, returning $3.8 billion to stockholders. Both companies use adjusted financial measures for better performance analysis.

""Brian's experience makes him uniquely qualified. The Board and I are confident that Brian's financial and business acumen, honed in a variety of strategic leadership roles at UPS during his career, make him the best person to lead our global finance function as we execute on our Better and Bolder strategy to drive shareowner value."" --- (UPS, press release, 2024/07/09)

"We believe these adjusted financial measures facilitate analysis and comparisons of our ongoing business operations because they exclude items that may not be indicative of, or are unrelated to, the company's and our business segments' core operating performance, and may assist investors with comparisons to prior periods and assessing trends in our underlying businesses." --- (FDX, press release, 2024/06/25)

"Non-GAAP financial measures exclude costs or charges that we do not consider a part of underlying business performance when monitoring and evaluating the operating performance of our business units, making decisions to allocate resources or in determining incentive compensation awards." --- (UPS, sec filing, 2024/Q1)

""Improved earnings and enhanced capital discipline enabled us to return $3.8 billion to stockholders during fiscal 2024 while prudently investing in our business and maintaining a strong balance sheet."" --- (FDX, press release, 2024/06/25)

"We received cash proceeds of $2.6 billion from the sale of marketable securities due to the liquidation of our portfolio to provide additional resources for short-term and strategic operating needs." --- (UPS, sec filing, 2024/Q1)

FedEx and UPS highlight key global market trends in package delivery, including sector themes, customer experience improvements, and supply chain insights. Geopolitical uncertainties impact international volumes, while FedEx aims to capture market share in profitable segments. UPS projects significant global DAP revenue growth.

"1st, talking a little bit about some bigger market trends that you might be able to help shed light on for investors, talk about some of the sector themes that are important and then maybe dig into some of the costs production trends and restructuring that you've got underway." --- (FDX, conference, 2024/05/29)

"And in 2024, we expect to generate over $3 billion in global DAP revenue. Speaking of S&D, over the last year, we've gained traction on improving the customer experience across 16 journeys." --- (UPS, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"Our mission to make supply chain smarter for everyone is coming in from this idea that we simply have the data and more importantly the insights about the global supply chain every single day, especially the high value goods of the economy." --- (FDX, conference, 2024/05/29)

"Increased geopolitical uncertainty continues to impact volumes in our International Package segment." --- (UPS, sec filing, 2024/Q1)

"We are forecasting that we will have to take some small market share in our profitable target segment." --- (FDX, earning call, 2024/Q4)

See also