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Specialty Products and Seasonal Trends in Grocery Retail

July 20, 2024

Note: We reveal investment insights through the quotes of top business leaders.

Key Takeaways

  • Specialty products are a key focus for retailers like Sprouts Farmers Market and Walmart, leveraging advanced demand prediction tools to optimize offerings.
  • Consumers are increasingly selective, prioritizing value and budget-stretching amid economic uncertainty, influencing retailer strategies.
  • Seasonal trends significantly impact sales, with fresh produce showing notable volatility, as seen with Sprouts Farmers Market's experience with avocado prices.
  • Effective supply chain management, including long-term supplier partnerships and investments in efficiency, is crucial for handling specialty and seasonal products.
  • Targeted marketing strategies, such as innovation centers and promotional events, enhance visibility and consumer engagement for specialty and seasonal products.

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Demand for Specialty Products

Sprouts Farmers Market and Walmart are both emphasizing specialty products to meet growing consumer demand. Sprouts focuses on fresh, local, and impactful products, while Walmart's 'bettergoods' brand aims to elevate culinary experiences. Both companies leverage advanced demand prediction tools to optimize their specialty offerings.

"Sprouts Farmers Market, one of the largest and fastest growing specialty retailers of fresh, natural, and organic food in the United States, today published its 2023 Impact Report showcasing the healthy grocer's work curating Impactful Products, ensuring a Thriving Planet, developing Purposeful People, and supporting Healthy Communities." --- (SFM, press release, 2024/04/30)

"And Walmart customers can expand their culinary horizons with confidence: bettergoods products are satisfaction guaranteed– one more way Walmart is committed to providing an exceptional experience for its customers." --- (WMT, press release, 2024/04/30)

"To further deliver on our fresh commitment and reputation, as well as to increase our local offerings and improve financial results, we aspire to ultimately position fresh distribution centers within a 250-mile radius of stores." --- (SFM, sec filing, 2024/Q1)

"We have an intelligence product that's much better than what we've ever had in terms of being able to determine what we think demand will be by item, by zip code, we optimize it in a number of ways." --- (WMT, conference, 2024/06/11)

"Business Overview Sprouts Farmers Market offers a unique specialty grocery experience featuring an open layout with fresh produce at the heart of the store." --- (SFM, sec filing, 2024/Q1)

Consumer Behavior and Preferences

Consumers are increasingly selective, prioritizing value and budget-stretching amid high prices and economic uncertainty. Retailers like Walmart, Target, and Costco balance affordability with attracting higher-income shoppers, reflecting a nuanced approach to evolving consumer preferences.

"So I guess the question is and this is happening at a time when other retailers are maybe doubling down on opening price point and are not seeing a stable consumer. So I guess my question is, how do you maintain the balance of being known for price and value and convenience too, but also welcoming these higher income consumers? And is that a delicate balance that you think about?" --- (WMT, event transcript, 2024/06/07)

"While our team is always committed to value, it's particularly important in today's environment as consumers look for ways they can stretch their budgets in the face of suddenly high prices." --- (TGT, earning call, 2025/Q1)

"So we're seeing that benefit from both sides of the consumer that great value in both areas are doing very well." --- (COST, earning call, 2024/Q3)

"And we've talked about this for several quarters now. The consumer is being choiceful." --- (WMT, conference, 2024/06/25)

"And even as inflation moderates and we see sequential improvement in discretionary category trends, higher interest rates, uncertainty around the future of the economy, continued social and political divisiveness and the upcoming election cycle have consumers concerned about what lies ahead." --- (TGT, earning call, 2025/Q1)

Seasonal trends significantly impact grocery retail sales, with companies like Walmart and Costco reporting both positive and negative effects from holiday shifts and seasonal events. Fresh produce sales, particularly volatile, also reflect these trends, as seen with Sprouts Farmers Market's experience with fluctuating avocado prices.

"Net sales benefited from the timing of certain seasonal events, along with positive fluctuations in currency exchange rates of $0.4 billion for the three months ended April 30, 2024." --- (WMT, sec filing, 2025/Q1)

"S, including the negative impact from the holiday shift. Foreign currencies year over year relative to the U. S. Dollar negatively impacted total and comparable sales as follows: Canada by approximately 1.5%, other international by approximately 2.6% and total company by approximately 0.6%." --- (COST, event transcript, 2024/05/08)

"Curtis Valentine: Yes and Chuck, the categories that you see the most volatility is the fresh produce areas, when you see avocados going up dramatically or coming down dramatically, we will double down and neither sell a bit less or sell a bit more and customers do react to price in the fresh produce space linked to the inflationary trends that are happening in that category." --- (SFM, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"Across markets, seasonal events were strong and were encouraged by early improvements in general merchandise sales. International e-commerce sales were up 19% as we continue to expand our" --- (WMT, earning call, 2025/Q1)

"S, including the positive impact from the holiday shift. Foreign currencies year over year relative to the U. S. Dollar positively impacted total and comparable sales as follows: Canada by approximately 0.9%, other international by approximately 0.1% and total company by approximately 0.1%." --- (COST, event transcript, 2024/04/10)

Supply Chain Management for Specialty and Seasonal Products

Walmart, Target, Sprouts Farmers Market, and Costco emphasize long-term supplier partnerships and investments in supply chain efficiency. Walmart and Target focus on resilience and modernization, while Sprouts Farmers Market aims to expand geographically. These strategies ensure steady supply and efficient distribution of specialty and seasonal products.

"And so we're really proud of our position from a supply chain standpoint. We worked diligently to provide resilience across the food supply chain over the past couple of years.I'm working on a number of initiatives, Doug, things like long term agreements with our suppliers to make sure that they can make the investments they need to secure future food supply, working diligently in things like sustainability across the key stakeholder groups to equip farmers to make sure that our food supply is steady for years to come." --- (WMT, event transcript, 2024/06/05)

"We discussed the supply chain investments we're making to modernize how we distribute merchandise, including the rollout of additional sortation centers to increase the speed and efficiency of our last-mile delivery." --- (TGT, earning call, 2025/Q1)

"Jack Sinclair: And we need to invest going forward, supply chain is going to be important to us as well, Scott, in terms of making sure that we're giving ourselves the options of supplying maybe broader geographies and where we're at the moment." --- (SFM, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"It's equally -- we have great partners out there that supply our goods for us and they're long-term suppliers." --- (COST, earning call, 2024/Q3)

"So, when you look at supply chain, the most efficient mile in the supply chain is from manufacturer to the DC, which we call the first mile." --- (WMT, conference, 2024/06/11)

Marketing Strategies for Specialty and Seasonal Products

Sprouts Farmers Market leverages innovation centers and early customer engagement, while Target emphasizes strong partnerships for product innovation. Kroger's promotional events offer exclusive discounts and free items, and Sprouts' sponsorship with the SEC Network enhances brand visibility. These strategies collectively highlight targeted marketing efforts for specialty and seasonal products.

"And if you look around our innovation centers, which are now in all our stores and continue to perform well, it's a very strong brand, kind of unknown brands that have got real kind of sense of differentiation and excitement for our customers and our team members." --- (SFM, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"Our partners know our playbook. They understand how we go to market, and they are terrific partners in bringing that experience to light, in bringing us great products, innovation and contributing to the value equation for Target." --- (TGT, earning call, 2025/Q1)

"Boost has already saved members millions on fuel, groceries and delivery fees, and now we are thrilled to celebrate our members with more discounts, free items and the opportunity to join or lock in another year of savings with half-off annual memberships. During the two-week event, Boost members and those who join during Boost Bonus Days will receive exclusive access to free items and even more great discounts including savings on Kroger's Our Brands favorites from aisles across the store, totaling over $60 in savings." --- (KR, press release, 2024/07/08)

"And that's what I was talking about in terms of aligning our model to the -- so the opportunities there, the people are there and our marketing teams are getting increasingly good at talking four to six weeks earlier than we open the store in terms of direct communication with those target customers, and we're working to get better and better at that." --- (SFM, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"The multi-year sponsorship integrates Sprouts into SEC Network programming with a special focus on women's sports and championships. Today, Sprouts Farmers Market, one of the largest and fastest growing specialty retailers of fresh, natural, and organic food in the United States, announced a new, multi-year sponsorship agreement with the Southeastern Conference and SEC Network to be the 'Official Grocer of the SEC.'" --- (SFM, press release, 2024/06/20)

Financial Performance Impact

Cost control, a strong balance sheet, and effective management of challenges are crucial for financial performance in grocery retail. External factors like healthcare and utility costs, economic conditions, and industry-specific trends also significantly impact financial outcomes.

"Our financial performance depends heavily on controlling costs. While we believe that we have achieved successes in this area, some significant costs are partially outside our control, particularly health care and utility expenses." --- (COST, sec filing, 2024/Q3)

"Factors that could affect our credit rating include changes in our operating performance and financial position, the state of the economy, conditions in the food retail industry and changes in our business model." --- (KR, sec filing, 2023/Q4)

"A strong and healthy balance sheet has underpinned our financial performance." --- (SFM, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"And we talked about on the last call, but we had challenges throughout last year and particularly in the second half and really credit to the teams, they got on top of it late last year, and that turnaround just happened a little faster than we expected and resulted in really good performance." --- (SFM, earning call, 2024/Q1)

See also