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Seagate's Strategy for Capitalizing on the Data Explosion: Recent Performance Insights

September 23, 2024

Note: We reveal investment insights through the quotes of top business leaders.

Key Takeaways

  • Seagate's revenue grew 14% quarter-over-quarter and 18% year-over-year, driven by a built-to-order strategy that enhances supply-demand predictability.
  • The company anticipates continued growth in the nearline enterprise and OEM segments, particularly in the latter half of 2025, aligning with market demand adjustments.
  • Strategic partnerships, including collaborations with Nvidia and eBay, are key to Seagate's innovation and sustainability efforts in the evolving data landscape.
  • Seagate is committed to achieving carbon neutrality by 2040, addressing environmental challenges while meeting rising data storage demands.

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Recent Financial Performance and Revenue Growth

Seagate's recent financial performance showcases robust growth, with a 14% quarter-over-quarter and 18% year-over-year revenue increase, reaching $1.89 billion. The company anticipates continued revenue growth, supported by a strategic focus on supply-demand balance and a successful built-to-order strategy, enhancing profitability and cash flow.

"Gianluca Romano: Thank you, Dave. Seagate delivered a strong June quarter financial performance underscored by double-digit revenue growth on both a sequential and year-over-year basis, with profitability exceeding the high-end of our guidance range. For the June quarter, revenue was $1.89 billion, up 14% quarter-over-quarter, and 18% year-over-year." --- (STX, earning call, 2024/Q4)

"We guided €0.70 plus or minus €0.20 to the top of the guidance range. So this is good, of course, for the short term, but is I think even better for the long term because the revenue will continue to grow." --- (STX, conference, 2024/06/04)

"Right now, we have opportunity to grow revenue using that capacity. We also said when you look at the end of this calendar year, we think supply will be you could have a little bit of unbalance between supply and demand." --- (STX, conference, 2024/06/04)

"Reflecting on our full-year performance, we delivered on all three. Our results were due in part to the built to order or BTO strategy that we put in place to provide greater supply-demand predictability and optimize our cash resources. For fiscal '24, we expanded non-GAAP operating profit by 64%, grew free cash flow sequentially every quarter of the fiscal year, and maintained healthy liquidity levels." --- (STX, earning call, 2024/Q4)

"Revenue was $1.66 billion, up 6% quarter-over-quarter. Non-GAAP operating income was up 44% sequentially to $183 million, leading to a non-GAAP operating margin of 11% of revenue, expanding nearly 300 basis points quarter-over-quarter, and our non-GAAP EPS was $0.33, increasing $0.21 sequentially and above the midpoint of our guidance range, reflecting the improving demand trends and continued cost discipline." --- (STX, earning call, 2024/Q1)

Market demand for data storage solutions is recovering, driven by cloud growth and increased customer visibility into ordering patterns. Companies like Seagate and Western Digital report improved supply-demand alignment and rising customer demand, positively impacting pricing and indicating a robust market outlook.

"We're thinking about getting a market that's balanced on supply and demand, delivering great products to our customers that can meet the needs of the growth of the cloud." --- (WDC, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"Recent Developments, Economic Conditions and Challenges During the March 2024 quarter, we experienced ongoing recovery within the cloud market, reflecting continued progress in customer inventory adjustments which we believe are now mostly complete, along with an improvement in end-market demand." --- (STX, sec filing, 2024/Q1)

"We continue to identify and evaluate opportunities to expand our datacenter locations and increase our server capacity to meet the evolving needs of our customers, particularly given the growing demand for AI services." --- (MSFT, sec filing, 2024/Q2)

"We do see better supply/demand alignment. We see tightness in the market, that's leading to what you would expect as customers giving us more visibility into what their ordering looks like going forward." --- (WDC, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"because you have more customers and with most customers more demand for the same product, of course, will have a positive impact to their pricing." --- (STX, conference, 2024/06/04)

Competitive Landscape and Positioning

Seagate's competitive landscape is shaped by the need for a data-first approach in hybrid cloud environments, as emphasized by industry leaders. The company remains competitive in hard drives, while facing challenges from well-capitalized rivals like Western Digital, who leverage AI opportunities in their strategies.

"1 of them is just it's on the competitive landscape. Is there a different set of customers or different set of competition you see in the cloud side versus hybrid and really the question of these intended around vast data systems and where do you see them play versus not? We will start with that and there's 1 more after that." --- (NTAP, event transcript, 2024/07/10)

"Is this a point of differentiation when you think about your competitive positioning relative to ODMs or less well-capitalized competitors?" --- (Dell, earning call, 2025/Q1)

""In today's rapidly evolving digital landscape, a data-first approach that spans hybrid cloud is crucial to accelerate enterprises' digital transformation and unlock long-term growth opportunities through AI," said Matt Harris, senior vice president and managing director, UK, Ireland, Middle East and Africa at HPE." --- (HPE, press release, 2024/09/16)

"And even when you get into things like power and space, I think hard drives are going to stay very, very competitive on the workloads that they that they offer." --- (STX, earning call, 2024/Q1)

""As a leader in Flash and HDD, Western Digital has an opportunity to benefit in this growing AI landscape with its strong market position and broad portfolio, which meets a variety of needs within the different AI data cycle stages. Data is the fuel of AI."" --- (WDC, press release, 2024/06/06)

Technological Innovations and Advancements

Seagate is committed to technological innovation, focusing on advancements like OptiNAND architecture to capture data growth opportunities. The company is increasing investments in hardware and software solutions, aligning with trends in AI and high-performance computing to enhance data storage capabilities.

"I mean, we feel very, very good about it. It's a major advancement in the architecture OptiNAND from an industry perspective to the CBA architecture." --- (WDC, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"I look forward to his contributions as we continue to innovate breakthrough storage technology to capture the tremendous data growth opportunities ahead." --- (STX, press release, 2024/06/10)

"We expect the IPU to be accretive to growth and profitability as it becomes an increasingly important part of acceleration in the AI data center. We also announced the creation of Ultra Accelerator Link, a new industry standard dedicated to advancing high-speed, low latency communication for scale up AI systems, communication, and data centers." --- (INTC, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"HPC servers can accelerate AI/ML workflows, leading to advancements in natural language processing, computer vision, and more." --- (NVDA, press release, 2024/06/13)

"Under this backdrop, we see strong growth opportunities over the coming years and are significantly increasing hardware, software and solutions investments with a laser focus on delivering an annual cadence of leadership data center GPU hardware, integrating industry leading AI capabilities across our entire product portfolio, enabling full stack software capabilities, amplifying our ROCm development with the scale and speed of the open source community and providing customers with turnkey solutions that accelerate the time to market for AMD based AI systems. We are excited about the unprecedented opportunities." --- (AMD, earning call, 2024/Q2)

Future Growth Strategies and Outlook

Seagate anticipates growth in the nearline enterprise and OEM segments, particularly in the latter half of 2025. Despite current flat bit growth, a rebound is expected, aligning with market demand adjustments. This positions Seagate to capitalize on emerging opportunities in dynamic data storage markets.

"As noted previously, in 2024, we had scaled back on capital expenditures, consolidating production lines and reducing bit growth to align with market demand." --- (WDC, sec filing, 2024/Q4)

"You indicated that nearline enterprise and OEM should gradually improve with stronger growth projected in the second-half of calendar 2025." --- (STX, earning call, 2024/Q4)

"So both of these businesses are going to continue to be growth businesses. They're both very dynamic markets." --- (WDC, conference, 2024/05/29)

"On bit growth, we do expect flat bit growth into the calendar Q2, but we'll see a pickup in bit growth in the second half of the year. Amit Daryanani: Got it. Thank you. David Goeckeler: Thank you." --- (WDC, earning call, 2024/Q3)

Key Challenges in the Data Storage Market

The data storage market faces significant challenges, including the need for sustainable practices, as highlighted by Seagate's commitment to carbon neutrality. Additionally, the rising demand for AI servers complicates storage requirements, necessitating efficient data management and security solutions to address evolving customer needs.

"It's taking all the goodness of NetApp storage. It's building content based intelligence right inside storage, smart workflows right inside storage, so that we can help the customers solve those non lead data challenges I mentioned before. These adaptive data services, that's" --- (NTAP, investor day, 2024/06/11)

"The company also remains committed to achieving carbon neutrality by 2040. 'Seagate is leading the charge in sustainable innovation in data storage, driving a circular economy and addressing key environmental challenges of our time,' said Dave Mosley, chief executive officer." --- (STX, press release, 2024/04/22)

"If you're storing an enormous amount of data, it's extremely important for you to put the data on the right piece of equipment that's the best economic value proposition for how you're going to use that data." --- (WDC, conference, 2024/05/30)

"And the demand for AI servers and putting high bandwidth memory in these, high performing DRAM in these, and lots of storage is consuming lots of parts." --- (Dell, earning call, 2025/Q1)

"And we have deployed over the last year, without question, the best data security capabilities for the file storage market. We are absolutely confident that we can not only defend, but we are expanding our leadership position in Let me repeat that." --- (NTAP, event transcript, 2024/06/11)

Strategic Partnerships and Collaborations

Seagate's strategy emphasizes forming strategic partnerships to leverage complementary technologies and capabilities. Recent collaborations, such as with eBay for a circularity program and with industry leaders like Nvidia, highlight their commitment to innovation and customer empowerment in the evolving data landscape.

"In addition, we may selectively pursue strategic alliances, acquisitions, joint ventures and investments, which may require additional capital." --- (STX, sec filing, 2024/Q1)

"Partnerships between market players present opportunities for synergistic collaborations that capitalize on complementary capabilities and technologies." --- (IBM, press release, 2024/05/23)

"Our perspective is always to empower our customers and partners. And so we recognize a sense of choice and selection and control is super critical to anybody making a decision about their tech platform or any individual service within it." --- (MSFT, conference, 2024/05/29)

"In our efforts to be a responsible, sustainable marketplace, this collaboration shows that we all have a part to play. The new Seagate storefront on eBay offers various hard drive options that can be trusted because they are recertified by Seagate and come with a limited warranty." --- (STX, press release, 2024/06/18)

"This quarter, we progressed strategic partnerships with a number of industry leaders, consulting joint forces with Nvidia to accelerate clients' AI journeys." --- (IBM, earning call, 2024/Q1)

Impact of Regulatory Changes on Strategy

Regulatory changes significantly influence Seagate's strategy, as management's approach will determine the extent of impact. Future tax rates and transaction approvals also hinge on evolving regulations, underscoring the necessity for adaptive strategic planning in response to these developments.

"Or I don't think it will change a lot. Of course, depends from the strategy of the people that will manage this business." --- (STX, conference, 2024/05/29)

"Our future effective tax rate is subject to future regulatory developments and changes in the mix of our U.S. earnings compared to foreign earnings." --- (WDC, sec filing, 2024/Q2)

"This transaction is subject to regulatory approvals and other customary closing conditions and is expected to close in 6 to 9 months." --- (HPE, press release, 2024/05/23)

See also