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Post-Acquisition Outlook: The Future of CDMOs

September 23, 2024

Note: We reveal investment insights through the quotes of top business leaders.

Key Takeaways

  • Market consolidation among CDMOs is intensifying, driven by competitive pressures and the need for expanded capabilities to meet growing demand.
  • Despite a current decline in customer demand, companies are adapting their service offerings to enhance innovation and productivity, anticipating gradual recovery in 2024.
  • Financial performance post-acquisition shows promising trends, with companies like Thermo Fisher exceeding growth expectations and focusing on adjusted earnings and cash flow.
  • Strategic growth initiatives emphasize enhancing manufacturing capabilities and aggressive capital deployment to capitalize on market opportunities.
  • Technological advancements are crucial for improving accuracy and productivity, with companies investing in automation and proprietary technologies to support life sciences research.

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Market consolidation among CDMOs is driven by competitive pressures and the need for expanded capabilities. Danaher Corporation highlights the consolidation of competitors as a significant challenge, while Bristol-Myers Squibb emphasizes increased manufacturing capacity to meet growing demand, indicating a strategic response to market dynamics.

"business as well. And we've been growing above the market for a long period of time and it's been a strong contributor to growth." --- (TMO, conference, 2024/05/14)

"OVERVIEW General As a result of the Company’s geographic and industry diversity, the Company faces a variety of opportunities and challenges, including rapid technological development in most of the Company’s served markets, the expansion and evolution of opportunities in high-growth markets, trends and costs associated with a global labor force, consolidation of the Company’s competitors and increasing regulation." --- (DHR, sec filing, 2024/Q1)

"And this is going to roughly double the addressable market for Breyanzi. We're also very encouraged by our expanded manufacturing capacity and now in a much stronger position to meet demand." --- (BMY, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"And we have a fast growing purification business as well. And we've been growing above the market for a long period of time and it's been a strong contributor to growth. When we look at the last couple of quarters, we definitely have seen" --- (TMO, conference, 2024/05/14)

"Price increases in the segment contributed 1.5% to sales growth on a year-over-year basis during the three-month period ended March 29, 2024 and are reflected as a component of core sales decline." --- (DHR, sec filing, 2024/Q1)

Impact on service offerings and customer demand

The outlook for CDMOs indicates a decline in customer demand, particularly in the pharma and biotech sectors, driven by reduced inventory levels and external economic factors. Companies are adapting their service offerings to enhance innovation and productivity, anticipating gradual demand recovery later in 2024.

"The Company expects the impact of reduced demand, including from reduction of customer inventory levels, to continue into the second quarter of 2024." --- (DHR, sec filing, 2024/Q1)

"And that's great in terms of just making sure that they can meet their customer demand, if you will, for medicines. You're also seeing the desire for how do we help them be more innovative and productive." --- (TMO, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"And they have done a tremendous job navigating the current environment to support our customers' life-changing work today, while also delivering breakthrough innovation that is reinforcing our long-term competitive advantage. The transformation in our portfolio over the last several years has created a focused Life Sciences and Diagnostic leader positioned for higher long-term growth, expanded margins, and stronger cash flow." --- (DHR, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"During the first quarter of 2024, revenues from pharma and biotech customers declined due to reduced demand for our products and services that support COVID-19 vaccines and therapies as well as a challenging macroeconomic environment and low economic activity in China, partially offset through strong commercial execution." --- (TMO, sec filing, 2024/Q1)

"The Company expects core revenue for the bioprocessing business to decline for the full year 2024 on a year-over-year basis with an anticipated gradual year-over-year improvement in demand through the remainder of the year." --- (DHR, sec filing, 2024/Q2)

Financial performance metrics post-acquisition

Post-acquisition, financial performance metrics for CDMOs show promising trends. Thermo Fisher Scientific reports exceeding growth expectations, while companies like Amgen and Bristol-Myers Squibb emphasize adjusted earnings and cash flow as key indicators of management performance and financial health.

"Additionally, adjusted earnings per diluted share is a key component of the financial metrics utilized by the Company's board of directors to measure, in part, management's performance and determine significant elements of management's compensation. Second Quarter 2024 and Recent Updates Business Highlights" --- (AMGN, press release, 2024/08/06)

"Measuring Performance The Financial Review discusses our operating and financial performance, our cash flows and liquidity as well as our financial position and our resources." --- (BMY, press release, 2024/04/25)

"Now, I'll turn it over to Dave to discuss the financial performance during the quarter, as well as our progress in strengthening our business and enhancing shareholder value. Dave?" --- (PFE, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"Its financial performance is tracking ahead of the deal model with really strong growth." --- (TMO, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"As an asset acquisition, this transaction was fully expensed in the first quarter." --- (GILD, earning call, 2024/Q1)

Strategic growth initiatives in the CDMO sector

Strategic growth initiatives in the CDMO sector are focused on enhancing manufacturing capabilities, aggressive capital deployment, and tailored investment strategies. Companies like AbbVie and Thermo Fisher are positioning themselves for leadership and growth, while Amgen and Danaher emphasize responsive manufacturing and cost improvements to capitalize on market opportunities.

"We certainly, as you think about the growth profile of the company going forward, will be in the industry leadership position And it affords us the ability then to really invest for growth in the next decade, which is ultimately how we're thinking about BD." --- (ABBV, conference, 2024/06/12)

"As things start to improve a little bit, but again, it's gradual, do you feel you're in a position now to maybe get even more aggressive like you have in previous cycles when it comes to capital deployment, evolving the business and other initiatives?" --- (TMO, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"This was evidenced in the manufacturing capability thought during the last global public health crisis, COVID, when we were able to help peers in the industry respond to their capacity constraints with our global every patient, every time supply chain and manufacturing network capacity." --- (AMGN, conference, 2024/06/10)

"We've installed a Danaher President and CFO so that they start playing out the playbook that we put together here during diligence, which is specifically tailored to Abcam and the opportunities there to both accelerate growth and improve the cost position." --- (DHR, earning call, 2024/01/13)

"We shifted our investments in most places. Over 75% of the M&S investments go to the growth drivers." --- (NVS, earning call, 2024/Q1)

Technological advancements shaping CDMO operations

Technological advancements are crucial for CDMO operations, with innovations like mass spectrometers enhancing research capabilities. Companies are focusing on standardization, automation, and proprietary technologies to improve accuracy and productivity, ultimately supporting life sciences research and diagnostics. Staying ahead in innovation is essential for future success.

"The Stellar and Orbitrap Astral mass spectrometers, together with additional new products being introduced at ASMS, will be on display, showcasing how scientific changemakers are shaping the future of human health from compounds to clinics with these technologies." --- (TMO, press release, 2024/06/03)

"By addressing the challenges of standardization, automation, and reproducibility head-on, we are paving the way for significant advancements in research and healthcare. Speed and accuracy are of the utmost importance in delivering results to researchers to enable them to make critical decisions on their journey to pioneering new discoveries." --- (DHR, press release, 2024/05/03)

"As a leader, we take our role seriously in making sure we stay ahead of the innovation curve." --- (GILD, conference, 2024/06/12)

"Whether our customers are accelerating life sciences research, solving complex analytical challenges, increasing productivity in their laboratories, improving patient health through diagnostics or the development and manufacture of life-changing therapies, we are here to support them." --- (TMO, press release, 2024/05/28)

"Committed to advancing its proprietary C-FREEâ„¢ technology, Curiox enables significant scientific breakthroughs, reinforcing its role as a key player in transforming life sciences research and diagnostics worldwide." --- (DHR, press release, 2024/05/03)

Competitive landscape and key players in the market

The competitive landscape in the CDMO market is evolving, with companies like Amgen positioning themselves as key players. Concerns about competitive pricing persist, while a growing pipeline of activity signals potential revenue growth, driven by increased biotech funding.

"Maybe any kind of latest thoughts that you guys have in terms of the overall market with a potential competitive landscape over the Yes, it's a great question." --- (BMY, conference, 2024/05/15)

"Any change, I think where I'm going with the question is given the mix it signals from different players, there is some fear whether competitive pricing environment could be great, so maybe talk about what you're seeing in the market?" --- (DHR, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"Are there – how do you see the competitive landscape shaping up? Thank you." --- (PFE, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"And you said you will be a player. This moment is made for Amgen. We're going to work as hard as we possibly can to be a key player in this industry." --- (AMGN, conference, 2024/06/06)

"And when I think about the market dynamics, definitely seeing the pipeline of activity picking up and as you certainly know, it takes a while for that to actually materialize into revenues given the cycle of the business, but very encouraging given the biotech funding environment to see that level of pipeline of work picking up. So, thank you, Doug." --- (TMO, earning call, 2024/01/20)

See also