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Key Growth Catalysts in the Healthcare Sector

September 24, 2024

Note: We reveal investment insights through the quotes of top business leaders.

Key Takeaways

  • Technological advancements, including AI and innovative diagnostics, are driving efficiency and improving patient care across the healthcare sector.
  • Demographic trends, particularly the aging population and chronic conditions, are significantly increasing healthcare demand and spending.
  • Regulatory changes are creating both challenges and opportunities, impacting product pipelines and pricing strategies for healthcare companies.
  • Biotech investments are poised for growth, with a focus on immunology and biosimilars, highlighting the sector's potential for innovative treatments.
  • Public health initiatives are essential for enhancing health outcomes and addressing disparities, contributing to overall sector expansion.

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Impact of technological advancements on healthcare growth

Technological advancements are pivotal for healthcare growth, as highlighted by leaders in the sector. Medtronic emphasizes innovation and efficiency to drive revenue, while Amgen leverages Phase IV data to enhance patient access. Avant Technologies focuses on AI and quantum computing to improve care, and Abbott Laboratories develops new diagnostic systems to expedite healthcare decisions.

"You don't see many head to head trials in healthcare. We had that kind of confidence in the technology, but we also thought it was important to really highlight this underrepresented cohort of people.But before I turn it over to Anita, I want to close by saying that, you know, across Medtronic, we are laser focused on delivering our commitments, particularly the mid single digit revenue growth and leverage down the P and L. So in addition to the innovation driving the top line growth, we're driving organizational efficiencies, aligning our incentives, and really instilling this performance based culture, more aggressive culture." --- (MDT, event transcript, 2024/04/07)

"And if you compare that to 50% last quarter and just over 5% about a year ago, I think we've made pretty good progress in enabling patient access using our Phase IV data that have become available last year.So we continue to see a significant growth opportunity for TEPEZZA in the U.S. while also recognizing that as we make progress with a lot of our execution efforts, there continues to be a time lag between when we knock down barriers for access, expand our prescriber base and see patients get on therapy." --- (AMGN, earning call, 2024/Q2)

""Our mission is to utilize the latest advancements in AI, including the massive potential of future quantum computing, to create a healthcare ecosystem where healthcare applications can naturally incorporate smart features for patient care, ensuring that every patient receives the best possible care," said Kenneth L. Waggoner, CEO of Avant Technologies." --- (SYK, press release, 2024/08/14)

"Our development efforts and diagnostics focus on developing new systems and creating new tests that play an important role in making healthcare decisions, expand the accessibility of testing and deliver a result as fast as possible." --- (ABT, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"As we launch and scale Sphere-9 and our fair mapping system, we expect our cash growth will accelerate even further over time, as we reach and then exceed market growth in this large and fast growing $9 billion cardiac ablation space. Next, in Structural Heart, we continue to deliver high single-digit growth excluding the impact of our Harmony Pulmonary Valve that we relaunched last year." --- (MDT, earning call, 2025/Q1)

Demographic trends, particularly population growth and the aging baby boomer generation, are significantly driving healthcare demand. Increased healthcare spending is anticipated due to these trends, alongside rising utilization in Medicare Advantage and demand from rural communities, highlighting the sector's evolving landscape.

"And for us, it's population growth, aging baby boomers still drive demand. You have chronic conditions in communities and that all lifts demand for healthcare." --- (HCA, conference, 2024/05/30)

"We expect overall spending on health care to continue to grow in the future, due to inflation, medical technology and pharmaceutical advancement, regulatory requirements, demographic trends in the population and national interest in health and well-being." --- (UNH, sec filing, 2024/Q1)

"to the prior year. Digging into the drivers of Medicare Advantage cost trends, we saw meaningful increases in utilization." --- (CVS, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"Then underneath that, we're exploring whether the market demand for those services was something we call end market demand or it came from the rural market into a major market because the rural market is another target market for us because of the deficits in capacity and talent in rural America, healthcare travels to the cities And in our communities, 18% of all demand for healthcare comes from the rural community into HCA markets." --- (HCA, conference, 2024/05/30)

"We are on track to approach 5 million patients in value-based care by the end of this year and are progressing strongly on our earlier and deeper engagement with patients, with a purposeful focus on our newer regions to more rapidly improve health outcomes and experiences. Optum Rx revenues grew 13% to over $32 billion, driven by strong customer response to the differentiated value, consumer experience and clinical expertise we offer." --- (UNH, earning call, 2024/Q2)

Regulatory impacts on healthcare sector growth

Regulatory impacts on healthcare sector growth are significant, with delays in clinical trials affecting capital sustainability (BMY), while regulatory milestones are crucial for product pipeline advancement (JNJ). Additionally, changes in the U.S. healthcare system create pricing pressures (MRK) and redesigns like Part D can offset expected growth (GILD). Companies like Pfizer are also adapting to regulatory demands affecting product evaluations (PFE).

"Significant delays in a clinical trial to support the appropriate regulatory approvals could impact the amount of capital required for the business to become fully sustainable on a cash flow basis." --- (BMY, press release, 2024/04/25)

"We have strong momentum with key end-market products and continue to advance our pipeline with significant clinical and regulatory milestones being attained. Our MedTech business delivered growth that fell below our expectations of growing in the upper range of our markets, which as you recall correlates to a weighted-average market growth rate of 5% to 7% from 2022 through 2027." --- (JNJ, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"Changes to the U.S. health care system enacted in prior years as part of health care reform, as well as increased purchasing power of entities that negotiate on behalf of Medicare, Medicaid, and private sector beneficiaries, have contributed to pricing pressure." --- (MRK, sec filing, 2024/Q2)

"That impacts about 20% or so of our U. S. HIV business. And the way we're looking at it is that the growth that we would have seen normally with HIV is going to be offset by that Part D redesign." --- (GILD, conference, 2024/06/12)

"In response to requests from various regulatory authorities, manufacturers across the pharmaceutical industry, including Pfizer, are evaluating their product portfolios for the potential presence or formation of nitrosamines." --- (PFE, sec filing, 2024/Q2)

Biotech investments and their growth potential

Biotech investments are poised for growth, driven by strategic acquisitions in immunology (Biogen), ongoing biosimilar developments (Amgen), and differentiated programs (Regeneron). Companies are balancing risks while focusing on innovative treatments, particularly in areas like HIV (Gilead), highlighting the sector's robust potential.

"As Chris mentioned, we continue to view immunology as a significant potential driver of Biogen's future growth and the recent acquisition of HI-Bio is an example of this importance." --- (BIIB, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"Also in biosimilar development, registration-enabling studies are underway for ABP 234 and a biosimilar candidate to KEYTRUDA and ABP 206, a biosimilar candidate to OPDIVO.In closing, I'd like to thank my Amgen colleagues for their strong sense of service to patients facing serious illness, their intense focus and spirited collaboration during this momentous year and their commitment to growing the impact of both our research and our business through this portfolio of potential first-in-class and best-in-class medicines.I'll now turn it over to Peter." --- (AMGN, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"For my remarks today, I'd like to briefly review some of our key performance drivers and then discuss a few of our more differentiated development programs, which have the potential to drive sustainable long-term growth for the company and value for our shareholders." --- (REGN, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"Our investments in product candidates are subject to considerable risks. We closely monitor the results of our discovery, research, clinical trials and nonclinical studies and frequently evaluate our product development programs in light of new data and scientific, business and commercial insights, with the objective of balancing risk and potential." --- (VRTX, sec filing, 2024/Q2)

"So as we think about growth moving forward, I mean, first of all, I would say on the HIV side of the business, we had to constantly remind ourselves and others that in addition to the treatment market and the potential for long-acting treatment that we have a very robust program on, and we'll update you a little bit more on towards the second half of this year with an analyst event, we've got the prep market that is just kind of the dimensionalized." --- (GILD, earning call, 2024/Q1)

Economic factors and healthcare consumerism's growth implications

Economic factors and the rise of healthcare consumerism are driving growth through innovative products and services, as seen with UnitedHealth Group's market differentiation. Additionally, mental health's economic impact highlights the need for focused solutions, while CVS's challenges with Medicare utilization underscore the complexities of the evolving healthcare landscape.

"And we've brought a lot of products and services in the last year. Two or three new products this market that are leading differentiating in the marketplace that we are seeing our health plans and our employers take advantage of this year that are really market differentiating and we are seeing that drive not just growth with health plans, but growth in products and services." --- (UNH, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"Beyond the profound personal impact, mental health challenges have far-reaching consequences on business that impact the whole economy." --- (CI, press release, 2024/09/18)

"Further, in a Quarterly Report filed on Form 10-Q with the SEC that same day, CVS stated that operating income decreased $1.2 billion, or 34.1% "in in the three months ended March 31, 2024, primarily due to increased Medicare utilization, the unfavorable impact of the previously disclosed decline in the Company's 2024 Medicare Advantage star ratings and a year-over-year unfavorable impact from development of prior-years' health care cost estimates in the Health Care Benefits segment."" --- (CVS, press release, 2024/07/17)

"And we're hopeful that in 2025, we'll have some sense of the policies that might be put forth a better sense of the economics around the exposure if the subsidies go away." --- (HCA, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"We're continuing to build our business based on the five strategic growth pillars that we're relentlessly focused on, and we're steadfastly confident in our ability to achieve our 13% to 16% long-term growth objective as we look to the years ahead." --- (UNH, earning call, 2024/Q1)

Innovations in pharmaceuticals driving market expansion

Innovations in pharmaceuticals are crucial for market expansion, as highlighted by major players like Johnson & Johnson and Pfizer, who emphasize their commitment to breakthroughs. Bristol-Myers Squibb combines large-scale resources with biotech agility, while advancements in metastatic breast cancer treatments further drive growth in the sector.

"As we continue to bring new innovations to market and execute against clinical and regulatory milestones, Innovative Medicine is well-positioned to achieve sustainable growth in both the near and long-term. Turning to MedTech, we continue to advance our pipeline, launch new commercial products and integrate strategic acquisitions that broaden and further differentiate our portfolio." --- (JNJ, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"We will continue to build on Pfizer's 175-year history of driving medical and pharmaceutical breakthroughs as we maximize the opportunities in front of us." --- (PFE, earning call, 2024/Q1)

"Our principal strategy is to combine the resources, scale and capability of a large pharmaceutical company with the speed, agility and focus on innovation typically found in the biotech industry." --- (BMY, sec filing, 2024/Q1)

"The metastatic breast cancer treatment market trends like the introduction of more advanced technologies and rising demand for metastatic breast cancer therapies are some of the primary drivers driving the global market's growth." --- (MRK, press release, 2024/09/20)

"Jared Baeten, SVP, Clinical Development, Virology, discusses the global response to the HIV epidemic with @newscientist, spotlighting the vital role of collaboration in driving scientific innovation and advancing health equity." --- (GILD, Twitter, 2024/07/18)

Public health initiatives and their role in growth

Public health initiatives are crucial for growth in the healthcare sector, as highlighted by Cigna's commitment to affordable medications and community health services, HCA's support for caregivers, and CVS's significant immunization efforts. These initiatives enhance health outcomes and address disparities, driving sector expansion.

"From our point of view, that's too many. We accept the responsibility to accelerate innovation to make medications more affordable, while continuing to improve health outcomes in finding solutions for every person we serve.Make no doubt our team will continue to lean into the challenge for the benefit of our patients, clients and the health care ecosystem and we are proud of the work that our team does every day and the role we play and the results we're able to achieve.Now let me pause and summarize before transitioning to Brian." --- (CI, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"So, we have a number of initiatives that are connected to our nursing operations and so forth that really make sure that we have resources and support for our caregivers on a day in and day out basis." --- (HCA, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"We continue playing a key role in delivering important community health services, as demonstrated by the approximately 2 million immunizations we administered in the quarter." --- (CVS, earning call, 2024/Q2)

"It was truly a once-in-a-lifetime experience they will always cherish! The nonprofits receiving Community Vitality Project donations were selected based on their mission alignment to our philanthropic and community engagement initiative, which includes a commitment from The Cigna Group Foundation to allocate more than $27 million in grants over the next three years to nonprofit organizations focused on improving youth mental health, improving veteran mental health, and reducing barriers to health equity." --- (CI, press release, 2024/09/09)

"We are confident that both of the Company's end markets will continue to grow steadily in the future, and the utilization pressures currently faced by MA plans only emphasize the importance of providers like Enhabit to payors who need greater control over healthcare costs." --- (HCA, press release, 2024/05/29)

See also