Electric Air Taxis: The Future of the Airline Industry
July 20, 2024
Note: We reveal investment insights through the quotes of top business leaders.
Key Takeaways
- Technological advancements in electric air taxis are driving sustainability and reliability, with significant progress in battery technology and green technology integration.
- The regulatory environment is evolving, with companies navigating FAA certification processes, which could impact commercial launch timelines.
- Market demand for urban air mobility is promising but undeveloped, with projections dependent on timely aircraft certification and cost-effective service pricing.
- Infrastructure requirements include investments in charging infrastructure, skyport development, and pilot training facilities, evolving gradually as the industry matures.
- Safety and reliability are prioritized through strategic design and rigorous safety protocols, with companies emphasizing simplicity and robust quality control.
Technological Advancements in Electric Air Taxis
Technological advancements in electric air taxis are driving sustainability and reliability. Archer Aviation and Joby Aviation are leading with innovative designs and practical applications, while Boeing's Wisk Aero showcases the world's first all-electric, autonomous eVTOL air taxi. These developments highlight significant progress in battery technology and green technology integration.
"The consortium is focused on bringing electric air taxis to Korea because they can play a pivotal role in achieving a more sustainable future, contributing to South Korea's broader goals of reducing carbon emissions and promoting green technology." --- (ACHR, press release, 2024/05/30)
"value propositions of electric air taxis. For Joby to deliver a cost effective air taxi service that our customers can rely on, our aircraft is designed with these characteristics in mind." --- (JOBY, event transcript, 2024/06/20)
"In the skies, our advanced F-15 demo will display its capabilities. On the ground, @wiskaero will show its Generation 6 aircraft – the world's first all-electric, autonomous eVTOL air taxi. Find out more: https://t.co/c3J9bIFH8i" --- (BA, Twitter, 2024/07/16)
""Abu Dhabi is leading the way in accelerating the launch of electric air taxis globally, and ADIO is proud to partner with Archer as one of the world's most innovative companies." --- (ACHR, press release, 2024/04/25)
""Over the course of this test program, our team has shown the world how real electric air taxis are, with tens of thousands of miles flown using today's battery technology," said JoeBen Bevirt, Founder and CEO of Joby." --- (JOBY, press release, 2024/05/02)
Regulatory Environment for Electric Air Taxis
The regulatory environment for electric air taxis is evolving, with companies like Joby and Archer navigating FAA certification processes to ensure safety standards. Delays in regulatory approvals could impact commercial launch timelines, but there is optimism that governments will prioritize and support the development of hybrid aircraft for short-haul flights.
"Learnings from the flight test program have been invaluable to our certification program and to the broader development of regulatory frameworks around electric VTOL aircraft, validating the performance, safety, and acoustics of our design while providing insight into daily operations and maintenance. In 2021, Joby demonstrated a flight of 154.6 statute miles on a single charge, including a vertical take-off and landing." --- (JOBY, press release, 2024/05/02)
"The in order to operate these commercially, you do have to go through a certification process with the FAA to ensure the aircraft meets the safety standards to fly and move passengers around." --- (ACHR, conference, 2024/05/16)
"If the publication of the SFARs is further delayed, if the FAA requires further modifications to our existing G-1 certification basis, or if there are other regulatory changes or revisions, this could delay our ability to obtain type certification, and could delay our ability to launch our commercial passenger service." --- (JOBY, sec filing, 2024/Q1)
"High chance of Governments and regulatory bodies prioritizing and supporting the development and adoption of hybrid aircraft for short-haul flights could be seen in upcoming years." --- (ACHR, press release, 2024/04/02)
Market Demand and Customer Base
Joby Aviation emphasizes the need for specialized software and a vertically-integrated business model to deliver seamless, efficient customer experiences. While they see potential in the urban air mobility market, they acknowledge its undeveloped state and the uncertainty of future demand. Their projections hinge on timely aircraft certification and cost-effective service pricing to attract customers.
"It was an incredibly valuable learning experience, but it also taught us that the sort of software we would require to deliver high tempo on demand services just didn't exist, even with the most sophisticated helicopter operators.To deliver efficient, even magical customer experiences which connect seamlessly with the services of our partners like Uber and Delta, we realized we would need to think differently about the backbone of the operation and build the software that keeps it all running from the ground up." --- (JOBY, event transcript, 2024/06/20)
"We believe this vertically-integrated business model will generate the greatest economic returns, while providing us with end-to-end control over the customer experience to optimize for customer safety, comfort and value." --- (JOBY, sec filing, 2024/Q1)
"While we believe the market for UAM will be large, it remains undeveloped and there is no guarantee of future demand." --- (JOBY, sec filing, 2024/Q1)
"Our projections are dependent on certifying and delivering aircraft on time and at a cost that will allow us to offer our service at prices that a sufficient number of customers will be willing to pay for the time and efficiency savings they receive from utilizing our eVTOL services." --- (JOBY, sec filing, 2024/Q1)
Infrastructure Requirements
Infrastructure requirements for electric air taxis include significant investments in charging infrastructure, skyport development, pilot training facilities, and manufacturing operations. The development of standards for landing sites, ground handling processes, and maintenance facilities is also crucial. Infrastructure will evolve gradually, both domestically and internationally, as the industry matures.
"Cash requirements can fluctuate based on business decisions that could accelerate or defer spending, including the timing or pace of investments, infrastructure and production of aircraft." --- (JOBY, sec filing, 2024/Q1)
"So it's not a lot of investment that needs to go into it, but charging infrastructure has to be put in place." --- (ACHR, conference, 2024/05/16)
"Near-term cash requirements will also include spending on manufacturing facilities, ramping up production and supporting production certification, scaled manufacturing operations for commercialization, infrastructure and skyport development, pilot training facilities, software development and production of aircraft." --- (JOBY, sec filing, 2024/Q1)
"So I think the infrastructure, both domestically as well as internationally, can follow this continuum where you start off with using aviation assets, but then slowly grow as this industry matures, as more capital is acquired." --- (ACHR, conference, 2024/05/21)
"When we say infrastructure, we mean the development of standards for landing sites and the landing sites themselves, the development of charging solutions of ground handling processes and decisions about aircraft storage and shipping, as well as the location and build-out of maintenance and simulator facilities. And by" --- (JOBY, earning call, 2024/Q1)
Investment and Funding Trends
Archer Aviation and Joby Aviation are heavily investing in their supply chains, R&D, and business growth, with Archer spending over $50 million and Joby using $108 million for measured growth. Archer also leverages a $3.5 billion backlog and predelivery payments to fund working capital, highlighting strategic funding trends in the electric air taxi industry.
"We have also made similar investments across our supply chain, having spent over $50 million with our suppliers to ensure they are able to achieve our timelines and the production throughput we will need to support our aircraft manufacturing plant." --- (ACHR, earning call, 2024/Q1)
"This represents a use of cash totaling $108 million, reflecting our measured pace of growth and investments." --- (JOBY, earning call, 2024/Q1)
"Our cash flows from operating activities are significantly affected by our cash investments to support the growth of our research and development activities related to our eVTOL aircraft, as well as the general and administrative functions necessary to support those activities and operations as a publicly traded company." --- (ACHR, sec filing, 2024/Q1)
"As always, you can expect us to continue to align our investments with the growth of the business." --- (JOBY, earning call, 2024/Q1)
"Two, our business model, where we will be selling aircraft from our approximate $3.5 billion backlog, allowing us to get periodic predelivery payments to help fund working capital for inventory purchases as we get closer to commercial production of aircraft, similar to the $10 million PDP that we received from United on the first 10 aircraft last year." --- (ACHR, earning call, 2024/Q1)
Safety and Reliability Concerns
Archer Aviation emphasizes simplicity in design and robust quality control to ensure safety, while Joby Aviation highlights its FAA-accepted Safety Management System and compliant safety programs. Both companies prioritize safety and reliability through strategic design and rigorous safety protocols.
"Adam Goldstein: In closing, our strategy is paying off. From the outset, we've been clear that our approach is to keep the design of Midnight as simple as possible, while delivering industry leading performance balanced with safety." --- (ACHR, earning call, 2024/Q1)
"Key to that is our Safety Management System or SMS, a formal top down and bottom up organization wide approach to managing safety risk and assuring the effectiveness of safety risk controls.And I'm pleased to say that Joby was the 1st eVTOL company to have an SMS accepted into the FAA's voluntary program for air operations, supporting our Part 135." --- (JOBY, status update, 2024/06/20)
"From the outset, I've been clear that our strategy has been to keep the design for Midnight as simple as possible while delivering industry-leading performance balanced with safety." --- (ACHR, earning call, 2024/Q1)
"Without an MRO, we can't launch operations. 2nd, quality and safety. We've developed and implemented FAA compliant quality and safety programs as the foundation of our 145 repair station that meets our high company standards." --- (JOBY, status update, 2024/06/20)
"But we need that robustness and quality control, to be set up for building safe batteries for safe aircraft, and to get our production certificate, you know, to be able to build these things, ourselves." --- (ACHR, earning call, 2024/Q1)
Future Outlook in the Airline Industry
The future outlook for electric air taxis in the airline industry is promising, with significant market potential and strong support from partners like Toyota. Companies like Archer and Joby are transitioning from development to scaling, focusing on obtaining necessary certifications, pilot training, and integrating new aircraft into existing systems.
"As you look across the entire GCC, we actually believe that the market will be much bigger than people think you can see this happening in the airline industry." --- (ACHR, earning call, 2024/Q1)
"We couldn't be more pleased with the support that we're receiving and optimistic about the path in the future alongside Toyota as we shift to from a development phase into a scaling phase." --- (JOBY, earning call, 2024/Q1)
"The amount and timing of any future capital requirements will depend on many factors, including the pace and results of the design and development of our aircraft and manufacturing operations, as well as our progress in obtaining necessary FAA certifications and other government approvals." --- (ACHR, sec filing, 2024/Q1)
"and deliver that true time saving value to our customers. To put it simply, you can't develop an aircraft and just drop it into one of today's existing airline or helicopter miles on the software too, which is exactly what we've done.Bonnie, back to you." --- (JOBY, event transcript, 2024/06/20)
"We are starting to build out our airline operations. So as I mentioned, gentlemen who's running that, so we've invested and continue to invest in the folks who are getting the Type 135 certificate for us and the pilot training capability, etcetera." --- (ACHR, conference, 2024/05/16)