Advanced Materials: Upcoming Technological Breakthroughs
August 14, 2024
Note: We reveal investment insights through the quotes of top business leaders.
Key Takeaways
- Advanced materials are driving innovation in various industries, with significant contributions from companies like Applied Materials, Microsoft, Tesla, Google, and Intel.
- Nanotechnology advancements, particularly in semiconductor processes, are crucial for energy-efficient computing, with TSMC leading in 2-nanometer technology.
- Sustainability is a key focus, with companies investing in low carbon materials, sustainable energy solutions, and environmentally friendly technologies.
- Manufacturing processes are evolving with digital security integration, innovative subsystems, and substantial investments in facilities and supply chains.
- The advanced materials market shows strong growth potential, driven by increasing demand, capital expenditures, and strategic execution in key sectors like semiconductors and display technologies.
Latest Innovations in Material Science
Material science innovations are driving significant advancements across various industries. Applied Materials emphasizes the critical role of materials-driven innovation in process technology. Microsoft invests in low carbon building materials, while Tesla develops advanced battery cells. Google's AlphaFold 3 predicts molecular structures with unprecedented accuracy, and Intel progresses in semiconductor designs.
"I think the contributions from companies like Applied Materials are more important than ever before as materials driven innovation moves to the forefront of process technology development as physical limits get closer and closer." --- (AMAT, conference, 2024/05/30)
"When it comes to construction, how do we start to accelerate markets for new low carbon building materials such as steel and concrete that we put into these?We made an investment last year in a company called H2 Green Steel with our Climate Innovation Fund. And they're looking" --- (MSFT, event transcript, 2024/08/05)
"The next phase of production growth will depend on the continued ramp at our factories and be initiated by advances in autonomy and the introduction of new products, including those built on our next generation vehicle platform, as well as our ability to add to our available sources of battery cell supply by manufacturing our own cells that we are developing to have high-volume output, lower capital and production costs and longer range." --- (TSLA, sec filing, 2024/Q2)
"AlphaFold 3 is the latest breakthrough, predicting the structures + interactions of all of life’s molecules with unprecedented accuracy." --- (GOOG, Twitter, 2024/05/08)
"These same partners also declared readiness for Intel 18A designs, and we will be collaborating closely with the ecosystem in the second half to prepare for next year's 18A launches. Beyond Intel 18A, we are well underway on Intel 14A and Intel 10A development." --- (INTC, earning call, 2024/Q2)
Role of Nanotechnology in Material Advancements
TSMC's advancements in 2-nanometer technology, featuring nanosheet transistors, lead the industry in density and energy efficiency. The increasing utilization rates of 3-nanometer and 5-nanometer processes highlight the significant role of nanotechnology in driving material advancements and meeting the growing demand for energy-efficient computing.
"Our 2-nanometer and A16 technologies lead the industry in addressing the insatiable need for energy-efficient computing, and almost all the AI innovators are working with TSMC. We expect the number of the new tape-outs for 2-nanometer technologies in its first two years to be higher than both 3-nanometer and 5-nanometer in their first two years." --- (TSMC, earning call, 2024/Q2)
"Our 2-nanometer technology will adopt the nanosheet transistors structure and be the most advanced semiconductor industry technology in both density and energy efficiency." --- (TSMC, earning call, 2024/Q1)
"as compared to three months ago, leading to increasing overall capacity utilization rate for our leading-edge 3-nanometer and 5-nanometer process technologies in the second half of 2024." --- (TSM, earning call, 2024/Q2)
"Over the past three months, we have observed strong AI and high-end smartphone related demand from our customers, as compared to three months ago, leading to increasing overall capacity utilization rate for our leading-edge 3-nanometer and 5-nanometer process technologies in the second half of 2024. Thus, we" --- (TSM, earning call, 2024/Q2)
"So the energy-efficient is fairly important. So our 3-nanometer is much better than the 5-nanometer." --- (TSM, earning call, 2024/Q1)
Applications in Various Industries
Advanced materials are revolutionizing industries such as automotive, healthcare, and energy. Tesla is advancing battery cell technologies and AI-enabled products, while Ford explores diverse electrification technologies. 3M leverages state-of-the-art materials to enhance health and welfare, and GE addresses material supply constraints in aviation, highlighting the critical role of advanced materials.
"We are simultaneously developing and ramping new products, building or ramping manufacturing facilities on three continents, piloting the development and manufacture of new battery cell technologies, expanding our Supercharger network and investing in autonomy and other artificial intelligence enabled training and products, and the pace of our capital spend may vary depending on overall priority among projects, the pace at which we meet milestones, production adjustments to and among our various products, increased capital efficiencies and the addition of new projects." --- (TSLA, sec filing, 2024/Q1)
"industries and governments and then generally the health and welfare of the people by being able to take the state of the art technology and adjust it to and fine tune it to terms and objectives." --- (MMM, conference, 2024/05/15)
"Yes, absolutely. So when you look at that, not only is it around the digital electrical architecture and what we need to do there, it's not only around the transition to electrification and the various types of technologies in electrification because it's going to it's not just pure EVs, it's plug ins, it's eREVs and other technologies that are emerging in that space." --- (F, conference, 2024/06/11)
"It's a clear challenge that we are facing head on, accelerating the use of FLIGHT DECK in partnership with our suppliers as we work to solve the ongoing supply chain constraints.Last quarter, we shared that the common denominator impacting growth across both services and new engines is constrained material supply with 80% of material input shortages tied to nine suppliers across 15 supplier sites." --- (GE, earning call, 2024/Q2)
"Just, there's no substation. We just, just plug them in. Just drop them down drop it down and plug it in.That's and now it works, which is like mind blowing for the utility industry, by the way." --- (TSLA, event transcript, 2024/06/13)
Sustainability and Environmental Impact
Advanced materials are driving sustainability through reuse, regeneration, and compliance with regulations (MMM). Innovations in aviation aim for more sustainable flights (GE). Tesla focuses on revolutionary technologies for sustainable energy (TSLA). Ford emphasizes the time needed for sustainable industrial changes (F). Google's energy-efficient cooling systems reduce environmental impact (GOOG).
"Does it have an economic sustainable solution. And both sustainability, the way Steve just described it in terms of reuse and regeneration, but also sustainable and over give out and BJ kind of mentioned the state of the regulations and where things are going, you're getting literally product bans in the whole class of different PFAS." --- (MMM, conference, 2024/05/15)
"All in, we expect to grow operating profit to approximately $10 million in 2028 and generate free cash flow in excess of net income, creating compounding returns.We are making meaningful progress to advance our strategic priorities and service of our customers, employees and shareholders while keeping an eye towards the future and paving the way with innovation for a more sustainable flight.Now Blaire, let's go to questions." --- (GE, earning call, 2024/Q2)
"No other shareholder base understands its company like you do, nor is as committed to Tesla's mission to accelerate the world's transition to sustainable energy like you are.It is also a shareholder base that understands that in order to accelerate the world's transition to sustainable energy and a sustainable energy economy, Tesla needs to develop the most revolutionary technologies, not only in autos, but in energy and artificial intelligence as well." --- (TSLA, event transcript, 2024/06/13)
"But it take -- as you said, it takes time. You got to launch vehicles, you got to get in the industrial system and make sustainable changes. The other one I would say is as painful it is quarter after quarter to have all these great launches, we do not release them until we're happy with the quality and that we've done all the testing." --- (F, earning call, 2024/Q2)
"Their cutting-edge cooling system is both energy-efficient and cost-effective, reducing environmental impact." --- (GOOG, press release, 2024/06/28)
Advancements in Manufacturing Processes
Significant advancements in manufacturing processes include 3M's integration of digital security, Tesla's innovative subsystems, Boeing's unified safety and quality systems, Ford's transformation of its assembly plant for EVs, and GE's substantial investment in facilities and supply chain.
"This integration marks a significant advancement in manufacturing technology, offering an elevated level of digital security while keeping the integrity of the production cycle." --- (3M, press release, 2024/05/14)
"Lars Moravy: Yes, sure. I mean, in short, yes, I mean, like the on-box manufacturing method is certainly great and revolutionary, but with it comes some risks because new production lines and not, but all the subsystems we developed, whether it was powertrains, drive units, battery improvements in manufacturing and automation, thermal systems, seating, integration of interior components and reduction of LV controllers, all that's transferable, and that's what we're doing, trying to get it in their products as fast as possible." --- (Tesla, earning call, 2024/Q1)
"We continue to believe that this reintegration leverages and builds on our capabilities, support supply chain stability, integrates critical manufacturing and engineering workforces that allows for the ultimate unification of safety and quality management systems." --- (Boeing, earning call, 2024/Q2)
"Our breakthrough, next-generation EVs will be new from the ground up and fully software enabled, with ever-improving digital experiences and a multitude of potential services. Assembly plant in Oakville, Ontario The transformation of Oakville Assembly Plant – a comprehensive overhaul of the plant from a gas vehicle assembly plant into an EV manufacturing complex – is set to begin in the second quarter, as planned." --- (Ford, press release, 2024/04/04)
"more than $650 million in both our manufacturing facilities and our supply chain this year, reflecting our commitment to strengthening quality and increasing production to better support our customers' long-term needs." --- (GE, earning call, 2024/Q1)
Challenges and Limitations
Volume production and supplier limitations pose significant challenges for Tesla, while Nvidia faces complexities in deploying new technologies, impacting customer demand and purchase timing.
"Of course, volume production is what matters. That’s what drives costs and so our costs are dropping, but the ramp still faces like a lot of challenges with so many new technologies, some supplier limitations, et cetera, and continue to ramp this year, just focusing on cost efficiency and quality." --- (TSLA, earning call, 2024/Q1)
"Deployment of new products to customers creates additional challenges due to the complexity of our technologies, which has impacted and may in the future impact the timing of customer purchases or otherwise impact our demand." --- (NVDA, sec filing, 2025/Q1)
Regulatory and Safety Considerations
Companies like Tesla and Boeing emphasize the importance of demonstrating safety to gain regulatory approval, while 3M highlights the role of personal safety products. Ford notes the need for compliance strategies in the evolving electric vehicle market, sometimes requiring external credits.
"I think Ashok can talk a little bit about our safety methodology, but we expect that these states and the work ongoing as well as the data that we're providing will pave a way for a broad-based regulatory approval in the U.S. at least and then in other countries as well?" --- (TSLA, earning call, 2024/Q1)
"Just any color there. So safety for everyone's benefit, personal safety has also the disposable respirators, the N95s in it." --- (MMM, conference, 2024/06/11)
"In addition, slower-than-anticipated development of the electric vehicle market may impact our strategy to comply with regulatory standards, and, in some cases, we plan to utilize credits purchased from third parties to demonstrate regulatory compliance or we may need to modify our product offerings." --- (F, sec filing, 2024/Q2)
"And that program leadership investigated the situation. They moved decisively to remedy the situation including alerting our regulator." --- (BA, conference, 2024/05/23)
"So if you're rendered a new Earth, it would work on a new earth. So it's -- there's this capability I think in our experience, once we demonstrate that something is safe enough or significantly safer than human.We are fine that regulators are supportive of deploying deployment of that capability." --- (TSLA, earning call, 2024/Q2)
Future Market Potential and Trends
The advanced materials market is expected to grow steadily, driven by increasing demand and capital expenditures, despite potential fluctuations in spending patterns and rising material costs. Key sectors like semiconductors and display technologies show significant growth potential, with opportunities for shareholder value creation through strategic execution and portfolio expansion.
"They probably got a little bit ahead of the demand function. But if you view those end markets at growing at 7.5% or whatever percent per year, then there's probably a little bit to absorb, but we think that will be a stable and growing market going forward." --- (AMAT, conference, 2024/06/06)
"At the same time, we are likely to see heightened levels of capital expenditures during certain periods depending on the specific pace of our capital-intensive projects and other potential variables such as rising material prices and increases in supply chain and labor expenses resulting from changes in global trade conditions and labor availability." --- (TSLA, sec filing, 2024/Q1)
"And we feel very confident that the secular trend around compute growth, right, getting to $1,000,000,000,000 if you will in semiconductors, foundry growth and the need for leading node capacity for most of the fabless companies and also the need for geopolitical geo diverse capacity for resilience is a trend that creates has huge amount of headroom for shareholder value creation that if we execute, we can be we can reward our investors with." --- (INTC, conference, 2024/06/12)
"And just as we think about the potential targets in the future, where do you believe you have gaps that you can still fill within your portfolio?" --- (IBM, earning call, 2024/Q1)
"Uneven spending patterns by customers in the Display and Adjacent Markets segment can cause significant fluctuations quarter-over-quarter, as well as year-over-year." --- (AMAT, sec filing, 2024/Q2)